Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 11:30 • GAİN Park Stadyumu
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.82 (league 1.46) 0.28 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.7% 41.4% 11.9%
best score tips
0 - 0
33.3%
1 - 0
27.3%
2 - 0
11.2%
Score & goals probability table
Fatih Karagümrük
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alanyaspor 0 33.3% 9.3% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 27.3% 7.6% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.2% 3.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlanyasporFatih Karagümrük
Played55
Form27%33%
Attack23%31%
Defense69%46%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Alanyaspor Fatih Karagümrük
HATHAT
Played79169716
Wins29%11%19%11%14%13%
Draws43%67%56%22%14%19%
Loses29%22%25%67%71%69%

Form: Alanyaspor: DLWWDDLDWLDDLDDD • Fatih Karagümrük: LLWLLLLLLDLWDLLD

League goals

Metric Alanyaspor Fatih Karagümrük
HATHAT
GF total410148614
GF avg0.61.10.90.90.90.9
GA total31215161430
GA avg0.41.30.91.82.01.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlanyasporFatih Karagümrük
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%63%50%94%
1.525%31%31%63%
2.50%0%6%25%
3.50%0%0%6%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlanyasporFatih Karagümrük
HATHAT
Clean sheets516101
Failed to score426538

Penalties

MetricAlanyasporFatih Karagümrük
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricAlanyasporFatih Karagümrük
Wins21
Draws21
Losses16

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-22-01-2
Biggest losses1-22-00-23-0
Goals For2232
Goals Against2243

Model comparison

MetricAlanyasporFatih Karagümrük
Form44%56%
Att43%57%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution77%23%
H2h85%15%
Goals65%35%
Total63.0%37.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Alanyaspor or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.74 @ 1xBet
Draw3.90 @ Pinnacle
Away5.16 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Betano
Under 2.52.00 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.89 @ Pinnacle
No1.96 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Alanyaspor = 0.82 (league 1.46), Fatih Karagümrük = 0.28 (league 1.29)

Fatih Karagümrük
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alanyaspor 0 33.3% 9.3% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 27.3% 7.6% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.2% 3.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.7% · Draw 41.4% · Away win 11.9%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1