Süper Lig — Turkey
Mon, Feb 9 2026 • 14:00 • Kadir Has Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.67 (league 1.47) 1.25 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.8% 29.7% 50.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
18.3%
0 - 0
14.6%
1 - 1
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
Kocaelispor
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kayserispor 0 14.6% 18.3% 11.5% 4.8% 1.5% 0.4%
1 9.8% 12.3% 7.7% 3.2% 1.0% 0.3%
2 3.3% 4.1% 2.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.7% 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKayserisporKocaelispor
Played55
Form13%33%
Attack8%31%
Defense31%54%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Kayserispor Kocaelispor
HATHAT
Played9112011920
Wins11%9%10%45%11%30%
Draws33%55%45%27%33%30%
Loses56%36%45%27%56%40%

Form: Kayserispor: DLDDDLDLLDWLLWDDDLLL • Kocaelispor: LLLDLDLWWWLWDWDDWLDL

League goals

Metric Kayserispor Kocaelispor
HATHAT
GF total6101610616
GF avg0.70.90.80.90.70.8
GA total21204181321
GA avg2.31.82.10.71.41.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKayserisporKocaelispor
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%90%60%65%
1.515%50%15%30%
2.55%40%5%10%
3.50%25%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKayserisporKocaelispor
HATHAT
Clean sheets112527
Failed to score538358

Penalties

MetricKayserisporKocaelispor
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricKayserisporKocaelispor
Wins13
Draws32
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-20-12-02-3
Biggest losses0-44-00-23-1
Goals For3223
Goals Against4423

Model comparison

MetricKayserisporKocaelispor
Form29%71%
Att20%80%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution39%61%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total38.0%62.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Kocaelispor and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.30 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.25 @ 188Bet
Away2.47 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.28 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.71 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.94 @ 188Bet
No1.96 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Kayserispor = 0.67 (league 1.47), Kocaelispor = 1.25 (league 1.28)

Kocaelispor
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kayserispor 0 14.6% 18.3% 11.5% 4.8% 1.5% 0.4%
1 9.8% 12.3% 7.7% 3.2% 1.0% 0.3%
2 3.3% 4.1% 2.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.7% 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.8% · Draw 29.7% · Away win 50.3%

vtt 6 , vtd1