Mon, Feb 16 2026 • 17:00 • Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.82 (league 1.46) 0.81 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
32.9% 34.9% 32.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
19.5%
1 - 0
16.0%
0 - 1
15.8%
Score & goals probability table
Fatih Karagümrük
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kasımpaşa 0 19.5% 15.8% 6.4% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
1 16.0% 13.0% 5.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 6.6% 5.4% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.8% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKasımpaşaFatih Karagümrük
Played55
Form7%20%
Attack13%25%
Defense50%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Kasımpaşa Fatih Karagümrük
HATHAT
Played101121111021
Wins0%27%14%18%10%14%
Draws50%18%33%18%10%14%
Loses50%55%52%64%80%71%

Form: Kasımpaşa: LLLWDDWDLDLLWLDDLDLLL • Fatih Karagümrük: LLWLLLLLLDLWDLLDLLLLW

League goals

Metric Kasımpaşa Fatih Karagümrük
HATHAT
GF total6101610818
GF avg0.60.90.80.90.80.9
GA total131629192039
GA avg1.31.51.41.72.01.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKasımpaşaFatih Karagümrük
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%76%57%90%
1.519%43%24%67%
2.50%19%5%24%
3.50%0%0%5%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKasımpaşaFatih Karagümrük
HATHAT
Clean sheets235202
Failed to score549549

Penalties

MetricKasımpaşaFatih Karagümrük
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricKasımpaşaFatih Karagümrük
Wins11
Draws21
Losses36

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-22-01-2
Biggest losses1-33-01-33-0
Goals For2232
Goals Against3343

Model comparison

MetricKasımpaşaFatih Karagümrük
Form25%75%
Att33%67%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h50%50%
Goals40%60%
Total42.3%57.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Fatih Karagümrük

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.98 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away4.21 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.85 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.97 @ 188Bet
No2.05 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Kasımpaşa = 0.82 (league 1.46), Fatih Karagümrük = 0.81 (league 1.28)

Fatih Karagümrük
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kasımpaşa 0 19.5% 15.8% 6.4% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
1 16.0% 13.0% 5.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 6.6% 5.4% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.8% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.9% · Draw 34.9% · Away win 32.2%

vtt 5 , vtd1