Süper Lig — Turkey
Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 17:00 • Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.93 (league 1.46) 1.13 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.6% 30.1% 40.1%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.4%
1 - 1
13.4%
0 - 0
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
Gaziantep FK
0 1 2 3 4 5
Samsunspor 0 12.7% 14.4% 8.2% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
1 11.8% 13.4% 7.6% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2%
2 5.5% 6.2% 3.5% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.7% 1.9% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSamsunsporGaziantep FK
Played55
Form33%27%
Attack25%63%
Defense25%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Samsunspor Gaziantep FK
HATHAT
Played111223121123
Wins27%33%30%33%27%30%
Draws45%42%43%25%36%30%
Loses27%25%26%42%36%39%

Form: Samsunspor: WWDLDWDDWDWWDDLLLDDWLLD • Gaziantep FK: LLWWWDDWWLDDWLDLLDDLWLL

League goals

Metric Samsunspor Gaziantep FK
HATHAT
GF total91625161430
GF avg0.81.31.11.31.31.3
GA total121527211940
GA avg1.11.31.21.81.71.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSamsunsporGaziantep FK
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%70%74%83%
1.526%35%43%57%
2.513%13%13%22%
3.50%0%0%9%
4.50%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSamsunsporGaziantep FK
HATHAT
Clean sheets437134
Failed to score527336

Penalties

MetricSamsunsporGaziantep FK
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricSamsunsporGaziantep FK
Wins23
Draws22
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-21-32-00-3
Biggest losses0-33-10-45-1
Goals For3333
Goals Against3345

Model comparison

MetricSamsunsporGaziantep FK
Form56%44%
Att29%71%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h62%38%
Goals54%46%
Total51.7%48.3%

Advice: Double chance : Samsunspor or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.89 @ 1xBet
Draw3.70 @ Bet365
Away4.59 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.92 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.98 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ 188Bet
No2.10 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Samsunspor = 0.93 (league 1.46), Gaziantep FK = 1.13 (league 1.26)

Gaziantep FK
0 1 2 3 4 5
Samsunspor 0 12.7% 14.4% 8.2% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
1 11.8% 13.4% 7.6% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2%
2 5.5% 6.2% 3.5% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.7% 1.9% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.6% · Draw 30.1% · Away win 40.1%

vtt 6 , vtd1