Fri, Mar 13 2026 • 17:00 • Atatürk Olimpiyat Stadı
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.55 (league 1.46) 2.92 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
4.4% 10.5% 77.5%
best score tips
0 - 2
13.3%
0 - 3
13.0%
0 - 4
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Fenerbahçe
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fatih Karagümrük 0 3.1% 9.1% 13.3% 13.0% 9.5% 5.5%
1 1.7% 5.0% 7.3% 7.1% 5.2% 3.0%
2 0.5% 1.4% 2.0% 1.9% 1.4% 0.8%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFatih KaragümrükFenerbahçe
Played55
Form33%73%
Attack42%100%
Defense42%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 112 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fatih Karagümrük Fenerbahçe
HATHAT
Played121325121325
Wins17%8%12%67%62%64%
Draws25%15%20%33%38%36%
Loses58%77%68%0%0%0%

Form: Fatih Karagümrük: LLWLLLLLLDLWDLLDLLLLWLDLD • Fenerbahçe: DWWWDDWDWWWWWDDWWWDWWWDDW

League goals

Metric Fatih Karagümrük Fenerbahçe
HATHAT
GF total101222273057
GF avg0.80.90.92.32.32.3
GA total192746121325
GA avg1.62.11.81.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFatih KaragümrükFenerbahçe
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%88%92%68%
1.524%64%68%32%
2.54%28%48%0%
3.50%4%16%0%
4.50%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFatih KaragümrükFenerbahçe
HATHAT
Clean sheets303358
Failed to score6410022

Penalties

MetricFatih KaragümrükFenerbahçe
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total14

Streaks

MetricFatih KaragümrükFenerbahçe
Wins15
Draws12
Losses60

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-24-00-4
Biggest losses1-33-0
Goals For3245
Goals Against4322

Model comparison

MetricFatih KaragümrükFenerbahçe
Form31%69%
Att29%71%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution18%82%
H2h0%100%
Goals33%67%
Total32.8%67.2%

Advice: Winner : Fenerbahçe

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home7.50 @ Bet365
Draw4.86 @ Pinnacle
Away1.47 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.93 @ 188Bet
No2.20 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.59 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Fatih Karagümrük = 0.55 (league 1.46), Fenerbahçe = 2.92 (league 1.26)

Fenerbahçe
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fatih Karagümrük 0 3.1% 9.1% 13.3% 13.0% 9.5% 5.5%
1 1.7% 5.0% 7.3% 7.1% 5.2% 3.0%
2 0.5% 1.4% 2.0% 1.9% 1.4% 0.8%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 4.4% · Draw 10.5% · Away win 77.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1