Süper Lig — Turkey
Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 17:00 • Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.82 (league 1.46) 0.62 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.3% 37.2% 25.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
23.5%
1 - 0
19.4%
0 - 1
14.7%
Score & goals probability table
Kayserispor
0 1 2 3 4 5
Samsunspor 0 23.5% 14.7% 4.6% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.4% 12.1% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 8.0% 5.0% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.2% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSamsunsporKayserispor
Played55
Form13%33%
Attack25%25%
Defense25%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Samsunspor Kayserispor
HATHAT
Played121325121325
Wins25%31%28%17%8%12%
Draws50%38%44%25%62%44%
Loses25%31%28%58%31%44%

Form: Samsunspor: WWDLDWDDWDWWDDLLLDDWLLDDL • Kayserispor: DLDDDLDLLDWLLWDDDLLLLDWDL

League goals

Metric Samsunspor Kayserispor
HATHAT
GF total9182791019
GF avg0.81.41.10.80.80.8
GA total121830262046
GA avg1.01.41.22.21.51.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSamsunsporKayserispor
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%68%60%80%
1.528%36%12%48%
2.512%16%4%36%
3.50%0%0%20%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSamsunsporKayserispor
HATHAT
Clean sheets538235
Failed to score6285510

Penalties

MetricSamsunsporKayserispor
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricSamsunsporKayserispor
Wins21
Draws23
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-21-33-20-1
Biggest losses0-33-10-44-0
Goals For3332
Goals Against3344

Model comparison

MetricSamsunsporKayserispor
Form29%71%
Att50%50%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h80%20%
Goals69%31%
Total53.8%46.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Samsunspor or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.84 @ 188Bet
Draw3.78 @ 1xBet
Away4.50 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.90 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ 188Bet
No1.97 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Samsunspor = 0.82 (league 1.46), Kayserispor = 0.62 (league 1.28)

Kayserispor
0 1 2 3 4 5
Samsunspor 0 23.5% 14.7% 4.6% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.4% 12.1% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 8.0% 5.0% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.2% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.3% · Draw 37.2% · Away win 25.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1