Mon, Apr 6 2026 • 17:00 • Yıldız Entegre Kocaeli Stadyumu
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.68 (league 1.46) 1.02 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.1% 33.3% 42.5%
best score tips
0 - 1
18.6%
0 - 0
18.3%
1 - 1
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
Başakşehir
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kocaelispor 0 18.3% 18.6% 9.4% 3.2% 0.8% 0.2%
1 12.5% 12.7% 6.5% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 4.3% 4.3% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.0% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKocaelisporBaşakşehir
Played55
Form20%67%
Attack33%100%
Defense0%17%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Kocaelispor Başakşehir
HATHAT
Played141327141327
Wins43%23%33%36%54%44%
Draws21%23%22%43%8%26%
Loses36%54%44%21%38%30%

Form: Kocaelispor: LLLDLDLWWWLWDWDDWLDLWWLLWLL • Başakşehir: DDLWDLLLDWWLLWDWWWWDWLWWWLD

League goals

Metric Kocaelispor Başakşehir
HATHAT
GF total14923232144
GF avg1.00.70.91.61.61.6
GA total112132171330
GA avg0.81.61.21.21.01.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKocaelisporBaşakşehir
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.559%67%81%67%
1.519%33%52%30%
2.57%11%19%11%
3.50%4%7%4%
4.50%4%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKocaelisporBaşakşehir
HATHAT
Clean sheets639459
Failed to score4711235

Penalties

MetricKocaelisporBaşakşehir
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total34

Streaks

MetricKocaelisporBaşakşehir
Wins34
Draws22
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-02-35-10-4
Biggest losses0-25-03-43-0
Goals For3354
Goals Against2543

Model comparison

MetricKocaelisporBaşakşehir
Form23%77%
Att25%75%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution42%58%
H2h0%100%
Goals25%75%
Total29.6%70.4%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Başakşehir

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.00 @ 1xBet
Draw3.30 @ Bet365
Away2.67 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.09 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.84 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.77 @ 188Bet
No2.07 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Kocaelispor = 0.68 (league 1.46), Başakşehir = 1.02 (league 1.26)

Başakşehir
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kocaelispor 0 18.3% 18.6% 9.4% 3.2% 0.8% 0.2%
1 12.5% 12.7% 6.5% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 4.3% 4.3% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.0% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.1% · Draw 33.3% · Away win 42.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1