Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 14:30 •
Mestsky futbalovy stadion Milana Janeka
Expected Goals
2.79 (league 1.65)
1.02 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 67.7% | 14.7% | 11.1% |
best score tips
2 - 1
8.8%
2 - 0
8.6%
3 - 1
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Stará Ľubovňa | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Liptovský Mikuláš | 0 | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 6.2% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.6% | 8.8% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 8.0% | 8.2% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 5.6% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Liptovský Mikuláš carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 145 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Liptovský Mikuláš -19.8, Stará Ľubovňa +10.0.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Liptovský Mikuláš
vs
Stará Ľubovňa
Elo gapLiptovský Mikuláš +145
Home / draw / away57% / 18% / 25%
Expected home share70%
Combined Elo3009.5
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3009.5
Elo home share
70%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Liptovský Mikuláš | Stará Ľubovňa |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1559.9 | 1449.6 |
| Form Elo | 1555.8 | 1447.7 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1552.8 | 1470.9 |
| Attack Elo | 1694.9 | 1479.7 |
| Defense Elo | 1448.4 | 1485.9 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -19.8 | +10.0 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Liptovský Mikuláš last-5 Elo change: -19.8; Stará Ľubovňa last-5 Elo change: +10.0.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Liptovský Mikuláš | Stará Ľubovňa |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 47% |
| Attack | 42% | 67% |
| Defense | 50% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 12 | 2.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
93%
FT probability
2.5+
65%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Liptovský Mikuláš | Stará Ľubovňa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 13 | 27 | 13 | 13 | 26 |
| Wins | 71% | 15% | 44% | 31% | 15% | 23% |
| Draws | 14% | 46% | 30% | 38% | 15% | 27% |
| Loses | 14% | 38% | 26% | 31% | 69% | 50% |
Liptovský MikulášWWLDWWDWWLLWDLDWDDWWLWLDLWD
Stará ĽubovňaDWWDLWLDLLLDLWLLLDLDLLWDLW
League goals
| Metric | Liptovský Mikuláš | Stará Ľubovňa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 32 | 20 | 52 | 20 | 12 | 32 |
| GF avg | 2.3 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 19 | 27 | 46 | 16 | 26 | 42 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Liptovský Mikuláš | Stará Ľubovňa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 81% | 89% | 65% | 81% |
| 1.5 | 63% | 48% | 31% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 26% | 26% | 8% | 23% |
| 3.5 | 15% | 7% | 8% | 8% |
| 4.5 | 7% | 0% | 4% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Liptovský Mikuláš | Stará Ľubovňa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Liptovský Mikuláš | Stará Ľubovňa |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Liptovský Mikuláš | Stará Ľubovňa |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-3 | 1-2 | 7-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 4-0 | 0-4 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 7 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Liptovský Mikuláš | Stará Ľubovňa |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 42% | 58% |
| Att | 38% | 62% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 73% | 27% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 71% | 29% |
| Total | 61.8% | 38.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.49 @ Dafabet
Draw4.50 @ Dafabet
Away5.60 @ Dafabet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.44 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.40 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.53 @ Unibet
No2.18 @ Unibet
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League standings
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