Fri, Oct 31 2025 • 23:00 • Estadio Nemesio Díez
Not Started
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Expected Goals
1.84 (league 1.60) 0.26 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
75.4% 18.9% 4.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
22.5%
2 - 0
20.7%
3 - 0
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
Puebla W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Toluca W 0 12.2% 3.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.5% 5.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 20.7% 5.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.7% 3.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.8% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricToluca WPuebla W
Played55
Form60%7%
Attack74%11%
Defense68%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)14 | 2.82 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.210 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Toluca W Puebla W
HATHAT
Played79168816
Wins71%44%56%0%13%6%
Draws14%44%31%0%38%19%
Loses14%11%13%100%50%75%

Form: Toluca W: DWWWWWDLWWLDDWDW • Puebla W: LLLLLLDLLWDLLLDL

League goals

Metric Toluca W Puebla W
HATHAT
GF total151631347
GF avg2.11.81.90.40.50.4
GA total51116281139
GA avg0.71.21.03.51.42.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineToluca WPuebla W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%63%44%94%
1.563%19%0%69%
2.525%13%0%38%
3.56%6%0%19%
4.56%0%0%19%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricToluca WPuebla W
HATHAT
Clean sheets426011
Failed to score112549

Penalties

MetricToluca WPuebla W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricToluca WPuebla W
Wins51
Draws21
Losses16

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-01-3—0-1
Biggest losses0-14-30-63-0
Goals For6311
Goals Against3463

Model comparison

MetricToluca WPuebla W
Form90%10%
Att88%13%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution89%11%
H2h100%0%
Goals85%15%
Total83.0%17.4%

Advice: Winner : Toluca W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.15 @ Unibet
Draw8.50 @ Betfair
Away23.00 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.41 @ Unibet
Under 2.53.00 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.60 @ Marathonbet
No1.58 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Toluca W = 1.84 (league 1.60), Puebla W = 0.26 (league 1.33)

Puebla W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Toluca W 0 12.2% 3.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.5% 5.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 20.7% 5.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.7% 3.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.8% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 75.4% · Draw 18.9% · Away win 4.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1