Prva Liga — Serbia
Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 14:00 • Sportski Kompleks FK Smederevo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.92 (league 1.33) 0.40 (league 0.99)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
73.0% 19.0% 6.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
19.0%
2 - 0
18.2%
3 - 0
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
Macva
0 1 2 3 4 5
Semendrija 1924 0 9.9% 3.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 19.0% 7.5% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.2% 7.2% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.6% 4.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.6% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSemendrija 1924Macva
Played55
Form20%67%
Attack19%63%
Defense50%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.610 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Semendrija 1924 Macva
HATHAT
Played448538
Wins75%25%50%80%0%50%
Draws0%0%0%0%67%25%
Loses25%75%50%20%33%25%

Form: Semendrija 1924: WWWLWLLL • Macva: LDWWDWLW

League goals

Metric Semendrija 1924 Macva
HATHAT
GF total62810414
GF avg1.50.51.02.01.31.8
GA total1785510
GA avg0.31.81.01.01.71.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSemendrija 1924Macva
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%50%88%75%
1.538%38%63%38%
2.50%13%25%13%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSemendrija 1924Macva
HATHAT
Clean sheets314202
Failed to score123011

Penalties

MetricSemendrija 1924Macva
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricSemendrija 1924Macva
Wins32
Draws01
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-13-0—
Biggest losses0-13-11-31-0
Goals For2132
Goals Against1332

Model comparison

MetricSemendrija 1924Macva
Form23%77%
Att23%77%
Def38%62%
Poisson Distribution81%19%
H2h15%85%
Goals29%71%
Total34.8%65.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Macva

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.31 @ 1xBet
Draw2.82 @ Marathonbet
Away3.21 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.64 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.44 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Marathonbet
No1.64 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Semendrija 1924 = 1.92 (league 1.33), Macva = 0.40 (league 0.99)

Macva
0 1 2 3 4 5
Semendrija 1924 0 9.9% 3.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 19.0% 7.5% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.2% 7.2% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.6% 4.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.6% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 73.0% · Draw 19.0% · Away win 6.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1