Prva Liga — Serbia
Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 12:00 • Zemun Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.98 (league 1.33) 0.78 (league 0.99)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
73.2% 11.8% 6.8%
best score tips
2 - 0
10.3%
3 - 0
10.3%
2 - 1
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
Stepojevac Vaga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Zemun 0 2.3% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 6.9% 5.4% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 10.3% 8.1% 3.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 10.3% 8.0% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 7.6% 6.0% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 4.5% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricZemunStepojevac Vaga
Played55
Form73%20%
Attack53%20%
Defense87%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.63 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Zemun Stepojevac Vaga
HATHAT
Played99189918
Wins67%67%67%33%11%22%
Draws33%33%33%33%11%22%
Loses0%0%0%33%78%56%

Form: Zemun: WWWDWWWWDDDWWDWWWD • Stepojevac Vaga: DDWDLWLWLDLLLLLLLW

League goals

Metric Zemun Stepojevac Vaga
HATHAT
GF total20103010616
GF avg2.21.11.71.10.70.9
GA total1021281624
GA avg1.10.20.70.91.81.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineZemunStepojevac Vaga
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.594%50%67%83%
1.550%17%17%33%
2.522%0%6%11%
3.50%0%0%6%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricZemunStepojevac Vaga
HATHAT
Clean sheets279213
Failed to score011336

Penalties

MetricZemunStepojevac Vaga
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricZemunStepojevac Vaga
Wins41
Draws32
Losses07

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-23-10-1
Biggest losses——1-24-1
Goals For3231
Goals Against2124

Model comparison

MetricZemunStepojevac Vaga
Form79%21%
Att73%27%
Def80%20%
Poisson Distribution78%22%
H2h93%7%
Goals86%14%
Total81.5%18.5%

Advice: Winner : Zemun

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.57 @ William Hill
Draw3.80 @ 188Bet
Away5.90 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.24 @ 188Bet
No1.70 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.67 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Zemun = 2.98 (league 1.33), Stepojevac Vaga = 0.78 (league 0.99)

Stepojevac Vaga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Zemun 0 2.3% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 6.9% 5.4% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 10.3% 8.1% 3.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 10.3% 8.0% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 7.6% 6.0% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 4.5% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 73.2% · Draw 11.8% · Away win 6.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1