Fri, Sep 5 2025 • 18:30 • Ammanford Recreation Ground
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.46 (league 1.62) 0.84 (league 1.49)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.0% 38.8% 42.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
27.2%
0 - 1
22.9%
1 - 0
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
Caerau (Ely)
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ammanford AFC 0 27.2% 22.9% 9.6% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1%
1 12.5% 10.6% 4.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
2 2.9% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAmmanford AFCCaerau (Ely)
Played55
Form73%87%
Attack25%56%
Defense94%88%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.22 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

0.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ammanford AFC Caerau (Ely)
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins100%33%60%67%100%80%
Draws0%67%40%33%0%20%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%0%

Form: Ammanford AFC: WWDWD • Caerau (Ely): WDWWW

League goals

Metric Ammanford AFC Caerau (Ely)
HATHAT
GF total314459
GF avg1.50.30.81.32.51.8
GA total101112
GA avg0.50.00.20.30.50.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAmmanford AFCCaerau (Ely)
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%20%100%40%
1.520%0%40%0%
2.50%0%20%0%
3.50%0%20%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAmmanford AFCCaerau (Ely)
HATHAT
Clean sheets134213
Failed to score022000

Penalties

MetricAmmanford AFCCaerau (Ely)
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricAmmanford AFCCaerau (Ely)
Wins21
Draws11
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-12-01-4
Biggest losses————
Goals For2124
Goals Against1011

Model comparison

MetricAmmanford AFCCaerau (Ely)
Form46%54%
Att31%69%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution32%68%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total46.0%54.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Caerau (Ely) and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.07 @ Superbet
Draw3.80 @ Fonbet
Away3.10 @ Fonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.04 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.65 @ Fonbet
No2.20 @ Betway
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ammanford AFC = 0.46 (league 1.62), Caerau (Ely) = 0.84 (league 1.49)

Caerau (Ely)
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ammanford AFC 0 27.2% 22.9% 9.6% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1%
1 12.5% 10.6% 4.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
2 2.9% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.0% · Draw 38.8% · Away win 42.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1