Fri, Sep 5 2025 • 18:30 • USW Sports Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.18 (league 1.62) 3.37 (league 1.49)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
0.8% 5.0% 81.8%
best score tips
0 - 3
18.2%
0 - 2
16.3%
0 - 4
15.4%
Score & goals probability table
Carmarthen Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pontypridd Town 0 2.9% 9.7% 16.3% 18.2% 15.4% 10.3%
1 0.5% 1.8% 3.0% 3.4% 2.8% 1.9%
2 0.0% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPontypridd TownCarmarthen Town
Played55
Form7%73%
Attack19%44%
Defense38%94%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 21 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

55%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pontypridd Town Carmarthen Town
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins0%0%0%67%50%60%
Draws0%33%20%33%50%40%
Loses100%67%80%0%0%0%

Form: Pontypridd Town: LLDLL • Carmarthen Town: WWDWD

League goals

Metric Pontypridd Town Carmarthen Town
HATHAT
GF total303347
GF avg1.50.00.61.02.01.4
GA total5510101
GA avg2.51.72.00.30.00.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePontypridd TownCarmarthen Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.540%80%60%20%
1.520%80%40%0%
2.50%40%20%0%
3.50%0%20%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPontypridd TownCarmarthen Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets011224
Failed to score033112

Penalties

MetricPontypridd TownCarmarthen Town
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricPontypridd TownCarmarthen Town
Wins02
Draws11
Losses20

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——2-10-4
Biggest losses2-33-0——
Goals For2024
Goals Against3310

Model comparison

MetricPontypridd TownCarmarthen Town
Form8%92%
Att30%70%
Def9%91%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h60%40%
Goals53%47%
Total32.0%68.0%

Advice: Winner : Carmarthen Town

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.60 @ Fonbet
Draw4.00 @ Fonbet
Away1.85 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.60 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.30 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ Betway
No2.32 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pontypridd Town = 0.18 (league 1.62), Carmarthen Town = 3.37 (league 1.49)

Carmarthen Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pontypridd Town 0 2.9% 9.7% 16.3% 18.2% 15.4% 10.3%
1 0.5% 1.8% 3.0% 3.4% 2.8% 1.9%
2 0.0% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 0.8% · Draw 5.0% · Away win 81.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1