Sat, Sep 6 2025 • 13:30 • The Recreation Ground
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.31 (league 1.62) 1.01 (league 1.49)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
11.1% 35.8% 53.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
27.0%
0 - 0
26.8%
0 - 2
13.7%
Score & goals probability table
Holywell
0 1 2 3 4 5
Caersws 0 26.8% 27.0% 13.7% 4.6% 1.2% 0.2%
1 8.2% 8.3% 4.2% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
2 1.3% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCaerswsHolywell
Played55
Form20%100%
Attack50%100%
Defense0%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 114 | 2.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Caersws Holywell
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins50%0%20%100%100%100%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses50%100%80%0%0%0%

Form: Caersws: LWLLL • Holywell: WWWWW

League goals

Metric Caersws Holywell
HATHAT
GF total23511314
GF avg1.01.01.03.71.52.8
GA total2810314
GA avg1.02.72.01.00.50.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCaerswsHolywell
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%80%100%80%
1.540%80%80%0%
2.50%40%40%0%
3.50%0%40%0%
4.50%0%20%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCaerswsHolywell
HATHAT
Clean sheets101011
Failed to score112000

Penalties

MetricCaerswsHolywell
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricCaerswsHolywell
Wins15
Draws00
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0—5-11-2
Biggest losses0-23-0——
Goals For2252
Goals Against2311

Model comparison

MetricCaerswsHolywell
Form17%83%
Att26%74%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution21%79%
H2h20%80%
Goals36%64%
Total24.8%75.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Holywell

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.95 @ 188Bet
Draw4.50 @ Bet365
Away1.61 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.40 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ 188Bet
No2.27 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Caersws = 0.31 (league 1.62), Holywell = 1.01 (league 1.49)

Holywell
0 1 2 3 4 5
Caersws 0 26.8% 27.0% 13.7% 4.6% 1.2% 0.2%
1 8.2% 8.3% 4.2% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
2 1.3% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.1% · Draw 35.8% · Away win 53.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1