Sat, Sep 6 2025 • 13:30 • The New Oval
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.23 (league 1.62) 1.01 (league 1.49)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.1% 28.6% 30.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.2%
1 - 0
13.1%
0 - 1
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
Penrhyncoch
0 1 2 3 4 5
Holyhead Hotspur 0 10.6% 10.7% 5.4% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
1 13.1% 13.2% 6.7% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.1% 8.1% 4.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 3.3% 3.3% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.0% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHolyhead HotspurPenrhyncoch
Played55
Form7%13%
Attack40%50%
Defense0%10%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Holyhead Hotspur Penrhyncoch
HATHAT
Played145325
Wins0%0%0%0%0%0%
Draws0%25%20%33%50%40%
Loses100%75%80%67%50%60%

Form: Holyhead Hotspur: LLDLL • Penrhyncoch: DLLLD

League goals

Metric Holyhead Hotspur Penrhyncoch
HATHAT
GF total044235
GF avg0.01.00.80.71.51.0
GA total11011459
GA avg1.02.52.21.32.51.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHolyhead HotspurPenrhyncoch
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.540%100%80%100%
1.520%40%20%60%
2.520%40%0%20%
3.50%40%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHolyhead HotspurPenrhyncoch
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score123101

Penalties

MetricHolyhead HotspurPenrhyncoch
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricHolyhead HotspurPenrhyncoch
Wins00
Draws11
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins————
Biggest losses0-14-01-23-1
Goals For0312
Goals Against1423

Model comparison

MetricHolyhead HotspurPenrhyncoch
Form33%67%
Att44%56%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total44.4%55.6%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Penrhyncoch

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Holyhead Hotspur = 1.23 (league 1.62), Penrhyncoch = 1.01 (league 1.49)

Penrhyncoch
0 1 2 3 4 5
Holyhead Hotspur 0 10.6% 10.7% 5.4% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
1 13.1% 13.2% 6.7% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.1% 8.1% 4.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 3.3% 3.3% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.0% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.1% · Draw 28.6% · Away win 30.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1