Fri, Sep 26 2025 • 18:30 • Ammanford Recreation Ground
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.09 (league 1.62) 0.67 (league 1.49)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
68.4% 18.8% 10.8%
best score tips
2 - 0
13.8%
1 - 0
13.2%
3 - 0
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Pontypridd Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ammanford AFC 0 6.3% 4.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 13.2% 8.9% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.8% 9.3% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.6% 6.5% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.0% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.1% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAmmanford AFCPontypridd Town
Played55
Form53%27%
Attack25%31%
Defense75%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ammanford AFC Pontypridd Town
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins100%25%57%25%0%14%
Draws0%50%29%0%33%14%
Loses0%25%14%75%67%71%

Form: Ammanford AFC: WWDWDWL • Pontypridd Town: LLDLLWL

League goals

Metric Ammanford AFC Pontypridd Town
HATHAT
GF total617707
GF avg2.00.31.01.80.01.0
GA total3259514
GA avg1.00.50.72.31.72.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAmmanford AFCPontypridd Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%43%57%86%
1.529%29%29%71%
2.514%0%14%43%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAmmanford AFCPontypridd Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets134011
Failed to score033033

Penalties

MetricAmmanford AFCPontypridd Town
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricAmmanford AFCPontypridd Town
Wins21
Draws11
Losses02

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-20-13-1—
Biggest losses—2-01-33-0
Goals For3130
Goals Against2233

Model comparison

MetricAmmanford AFCPontypridd Town
Form67%33%
Att44%56%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h0%100%
Goals12%88%
Total47.5%52.5%

Advice: Double chance : Ammanford AFC or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.16 @ 1xBet
Draw3.84 @ Pinnacle
Away3.00 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.62 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.28 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.46 @ Marathonbet
No2.50 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ammanford AFC = 2.09 (league 1.62), Pontypridd Town = 0.67 (league 1.49)

Pontypridd Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ammanford AFC 0 6.3% 4.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 13.2% 8.9% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.8% 9.3% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.6% 6.5% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.0% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.1% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 68.4% · Draw 18.8% · Away win 10.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1