Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 13:30 • The Montgomery Waters Latham Park Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.83 (league 1.63) 1.42 (league 1.48)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.9% 27.2% 50.5%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.0%
1 - 1
12.4%
0 - 2
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
Denbigh Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newtown AFC 0 10.6% 15.0% 10.6% 5.0% 1.8% 0.5%
1 8.8% 12.4% 8.8% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4%
2 3.6% 5.2% 3.7% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
3 1.0% 1.4% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNewtown AFCDenbigh Town
Played55
Form67%73%
Attack67%83%
Defense56%78%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.415 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

72%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Newtown AFC Denbigh Town
HATHAT
Played347527
Wins100%50%71%60%50%57%
Draws0%25%14%20%50%29%
Loses0%25%14%20%0%14%

Form: Newtown AFC: WWWDWLW • Denbigh Town: WLWWDDW

League goals

Metric Newtown AFC Denbigh Town
HATHAT
GF total891713619
GF avg2.72.32.42.63.02.7
GA total279718
GA avg0.71.81.31.40.51.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNewtown AFCDenbigh Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%86%100%86%
1.586%43%57%29%
2.543%0%57%0%
3.514%0%29%0%
4.514%0%29%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNewtown AFCDenbigh Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets101011
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricNewtown AFCDenbigh Town
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricNewtown AFCDenbigh Town
Wins32
Draws12
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-02-55-10-5
Biggest losses—2-01-2—
Goals For3555
Goals Against1221

Model comparison

MetricNewtown AFCDenbigh Town
Form48%52%
Att44%56%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution35%65%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total40.0%60.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Denbigh Town

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.78 @ Superbet
Draw4.03 @ Pinnacle
Away3.80 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.40 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.82 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.41 @ Superbet
No2.70 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Newtown AFC = 0.83 (league 1.63), Denbigh Town = 1.42 (league 1.48)

Denbigh Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newtown AFC 0 10.6% 15.0% 10.6% 5.0% 1.8% 0.5%
1 8.8% 12.4% 8.8% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4%
2 3.6% 5.2% 3.7% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
3 1.0% 1.4% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.9% · Draw 27.2% · Away win 50.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1