Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 13:30 • Windmill Ground
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.62 (league 1.62) 1.01 (league 1.49)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.9% 34.0% 44.1%
best score tips
0 - 1
19.9%
0 - 0
19.7%
1 - 1
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
Cardiff Draconians
0 1 2 3 4 5
Llantwit Major 0 19.7% 19.9% 10.0% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2%
1 12.1% 12.2% 6.2% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 3.7% 3.8% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.8% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLlantwit MajorCardiff Draconians
Played55
Form40%67%
Attack33%44%
Defense67%78%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Llantwit Major Cardiff Draconians
HATHAT
Played347347
Wins33%0%14%33%50%43%
Draws33%50%43%0%25%14%
Loses33%50%43%67%25%43%

Form: Llantwit Major: LLDLDWD • Cardiff Draconians: LLLWWDW

League goals

Metric Llantwit Major Cardiff Draconians
HATHAT
GF total358369
GF avg1.01.31.11.01.51.3
GA total3710347
GA avg1.01.81.41.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLlantwit MajorCardiff Draconians
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%71%57%86%
1.529%57%43%14%
2.514%14%29%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLlantwit MajorCardiff Draconians
HATHAT
Clean sheets112011
Failed to score112213

Penalties

MetricLlantwit MajorCardiff Draconians
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricLlantwit MajorCardiff Draconians
Wins12
Draws11
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1—3-11-3
Biggest losses1-22-10-12-1
Goals For2333
Goals Against2312

Model comparison

MetricLlantwit MajorCardiff Draconians
Form38%63%
Att43%57%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution35%65%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total39.0%61.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Cardiff Draconians

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.96 @ 1xBet
Draw3.55 @ Superbet
Away3.40 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.96 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.69 @ Superbet
No2.08 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Llantwit Major = 0.62 (league 1.62), Cardiff Draconians = 1.01 (league 1.49)

Cardiff Draconians
0 1 2 3 4 5
Llantwit Major 0 19.7% 19.9% 10.0% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2%
1 12.1% 12.2% 6.2% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 3.7% 3.8% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.8% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.9% · Draw 34.0% · Away win 44.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1