Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 13:30 •
Bush Park
Expected Goals
1.20 (league 1.62)
3.87 (league 1.49)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 6.8% | 9.3% | 64.3% |
best score tips
1 - 3
7.3%
1 - 4
7.0%
0 - 3
6.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Caerau (Ely) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Treowen Stars | 0 | 0.6% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% |
| 1 | 0.8% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | |
| 2 | 0.5% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.3% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Treowen Stars | Caerau (Ely) |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 67% |
| Attack | 28% | 39% |
| Defense | 56% | 78% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
93%
FT probability
2.5+
65%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
79%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Treowen Stars | Caerau (Ely) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Wins | 0% | 20% | 14% | 60% | 67% | 63% |
| Draws | 50% | 40% | 43% | 40% | 0% | 25% |
| Loses | 50% | 40% | 43% | 0% | 33% | 13% |
Form: Treowen Stars: LWLLDDD • Caerau (Ely): WDWWWLDW
League goals
| Metric | Treowen Stars | Caerau (Ely) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 13 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 2.3 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 5 | 7 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| GA avg | 2.5 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Treowen Stars | Caerau (Ely) | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 86% | 88% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 29% | 43% | 50% | 13% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 29% | 13% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 14% | 14% | 13% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Treowen Stars | Caerau (Ely) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Treowen Stars | Caerau (Ely) |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Treowen Stars | Caerau (Ely) |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-4 | 2-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 4-0 | — | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Treowen Stars | Caerau (Ely) |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 23% | 77% |
| Att | 42% | 58% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 22% | 78% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 30.0% | 70.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Caerau (Ely)
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Treowen Stars = 1.20 (league 1.62), Caerau (Ely) = 3.87 (league 1.49)
| Caerau (Ely) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Treowen Stars | 0 | 0.6% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% |
| 1 | 0.8% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | |
| 2 | 0.5% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.3% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 6.8% · Draw 9.3% · Away win 64.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1