Fri, Oct 3 2025 • 18:30 •
USW Sports Park
Expected Goals
1.55 (league 1.62)
1.86 (league 1.49)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 32.0% | 22.3% | 44.0% |
best score tips
1 - 1
9.5%
1 - 2
8.9%
2 - 1
7.4%
| Treowen Stars | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Pontypridd Town | 0 | 3.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 5.1% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | |
| 2 | 4.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Pontypridd Town | Treowen Stars |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 20% |
| Attack | 43% | 29% |
| Defense | 36% | 29% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
91%
FT probability
2.5+
64%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
77%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Pontypridd Town | Treowen Stars | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| Wins | 25% | 0% | 13% | 0% | 20% | 13% |
| Draws | 0% | 50% | 25% | 33% | 40% | 38% |
| Loses | 75% | 50% | 63% | 67% | 40% | 50% |
Form: Pontypridd Town: LLDLLWLD • Treowen Stars: LWLLDDDL
League goals
| Metric | Pontypridd Town | Treowen Stars | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 9 | 6 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 17 |
| GA avg | 2.3 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 3.3 | 1.4 | 2.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Pontypridd Town | Treowen Stars | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 63% | 88% | 63% | 88% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 63% | 25% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 38% | 13% | 38% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 13% | 25% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 13% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Pontypridd Town | Treowen Stars | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Pontypridd Town | Treowen Stars |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Pontypridd Town | Treowen Stars |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | — | — | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 3-0 | 0-5 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Pontypridd Town | Treowen Stars |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 53% | 47% |
| Poisson Distribution | 43% | 57% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 53.3% | 46.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Pontypridd Town or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Pontypridd Town = 1.55 (league 1.62), Treowen Stars = 1.86 (league 1.49)
| Treowen Stars | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Pontypridd Town | 0 | 3.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 5.1% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | |
| 2 | 4.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.0% · Draw 22.3% · Away win 44.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1