Fri, Oct 3 2025 • 18:45 • Globe Way Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.66 (league 1.62) 3.72 (league 1.49)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
22.0% 14.5% 41.9%
best score tips
2 - 3
5.2%
2 - 4
4.8%
3 - 3
4.6%
Newtown AFC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Buckley Town 0 0.2% 0.6% 1.2% 1.5% 1.4% 1.0%
1 0.5% 1.7% 3.1% 3.9% 3.6% 2.7%
2 0.6% 2.2% 4.2% 5.2% 4.8% 3.6%
3 0.5% 2.0% 3.7% 4.6% 4.2% 3.2%
4 0.4% 1.3% 2.5% 3.0% 2.8% 2.1%
5 0.2% 0.7% 1.3% 1.6% 1.5% 1.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBuckley TownNewtown AFC
Played55
Form53%67%
Attack86%93%
Defense36%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.413 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

61%
FT probability

BTTS

84%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Buckley Town Newtown AFC
HATHAT
Played538448
Wins40%33%38%100%50%75%
Draws20%33%25%0%25%13%
Loses40%33%38%0%25%13%

Form: Buckley Town: LLWLWDDW • Newtown AFC: WWWDWLWW

League goals

Metric Buckley Town Newtown AFC
HATHAT
GF total1231512921
GF avg2.41.01.93.02.32.6
GA total126184711
GA avg2.42.02.31.01.81.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBuckley TownNewtown AFC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%88%88%88%
1.550%63%88%50%
2.538%38%50%0%
3.513%25%25%0%
4.513%13%13%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBuckley TownNewtown AFC
HATHAT
Clean sheets101101
Failed to score112011

Penalties

MetricBuckley TownNewtown AFC
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricBuckley TownNewtown AFC
Wins13
Draws21
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-23-02-5
Biggest losses0-34-0—2-0
Goals For5245
Goals Against5422

Model comparison

MetricBuckley TownNewtown AFC
Form44%56%
Att48%52%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h0%100%
Goals40%60%
Total44.4%55.6%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Newtown AFC and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.60 @ 1xBet
Draw4.44 @ Pinnacle
Away1.88 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.66 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.44 @ Superbet
No2.59 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Buckley Town = 2.66 (league 1.62), Newtown AFC = 3.72 (league 1.49)

Newtown AFC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Buckley Town 0 0.2% 0.6% 1.2% 1.5% 1.4% 1.0%
1 0.5% 1.7% 3.1% 3.9% 3.6% 2.7%
2 0.6% 2.2% 4.2% 5.2% 4.8% 3.6%
3 0.5% 2.0% 3.7% 4.6% 4.2% 3.2%
4 0.4% 1.3% 2.5% 3.0% 2.8% 2.1%
5 0.2% 0.7% 1.3% 1.6% 1.5% 1.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.0% · Draw 14.5% · Away win 41.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1