Sat, Apr 11 2026 • 13:30 •
Cae Baker
Expected Goals
3.06 (league 1.71)
2.18 (league 1.51)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 47.4% | 16.6% | 24.7% |
best score tips
3 - 2
6.0%
2 - 2
5.9%
3 - 1
5.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Gresford Athletic | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Penrhyncoch | 0 | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 1.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 2.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% | |
| 3 | 2.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.0% | |
| 4 | 1.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | |
| 5 | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Penrhyncoch | Gresford Athletic |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Attack | 35% | 47% |
| Defense | 76% | 53% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
83%
FT probability
3.5+
59%
FT probability
BTTS
84%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Penrhyncoch | Gresford Athletic | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 14 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
| Wins | 31% | 21% | 26% | 40% | 17% | 30% |
| Draws | 15% | 21% | 19% | 13% | 17% | 15% |
| Loses | 54% | 57% | 56% | 47% | 67% | 56% |
Form: Penrhyncoch: DLLLDDLLLLLLWDWDLWLLWLWWWLL • Gresford Athletic: LWLDLWLLLDLLLDLDWWLWLWWWLLL
League goals
| Metric | Penrhyncoch | Gresford Athletic | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 20 | 16 | 36 | 20 | 26 | 46 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2.2 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 20 | 31 | 51 | 36 | 42 | 78 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 2.4 | 3.5 | 2.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Penrhyncoch | Gresford Athletic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 81% | 81% | 81% | 85% |
| 1.5 | 30% | 52% | 41% | 74% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 41% | 30% | 44% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 15% | 15% | 33% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 0% | 4% | 22% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Penrhyncoch | Gresford Athletic | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Penrhyncoch | Gresford Athletic |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 75.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 1 | 25.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Penrhyncoch | Gresford Athletic |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 6 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-0 | 0-2 | 3-0 | 0-5 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 4-0 | 0-7 | 7-1 |
| Goals For | 6 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 7 | 8 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Penrhyncoch | Gresford Athletic |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Att | 43% | 57% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 57% | 43% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 42% | 58% |
| Total | 49.7% | 50.3% |
Advice: Double chance : Penrhyncoch or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Penrhyncoch = 3.06 (league 1.71), Gresford Athletic = 2.18 (league 1.51)
| Gresford Athletic | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Penrhyncoch | 0 | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 1.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 2.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% | |
| 3 | 2.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.0% | |
| 4 | 1.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | |
| 5 | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.4% · Draw 16.6% · Away win 24.7%
vtt 2 , vtd1