Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 16:00 • Ynys Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.83 (league 1.62) 1.40 (league 1.49)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
60.4% 16.2% 16.3%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.2%
3 - 1
7.7%
2 - 0
5.8%
Score & goals probability table
Afan Lido
0 1 2 3 4 5
Trefelin 0 1.5% 2.0% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
1 4.1% 5.8% 4.0% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
2 5.8% 8.2% 5.7% 2.7% 0.9% 0.3%
3 5.5% 7.7% 5.4% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2%
4 3.9% 5.4% 3.8% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
5 2.2% 3.1% 2.2% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTrefelinAfan Lido
Played55
Form73%20%
Attack100%45%
Defense64%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)15 | 35 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.812 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

71%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Trefelin Afan Lido
HATHAT
Played448358
Wins50%75%63%0%40%25%
Draws25%25%25%0%0%0%
Loses25%0%13%100%60%75%

Form: Trefelin: WLWWDDWW • Afan Lido: LLWLWLLL

League goals

Metric Trefelin Afan Lido
HATHAT
GF total91120189
GF avg2.32.82.50.31.61.1
GA total53881018
GA avg1.30.81.02.72.02.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTrefelinAfan Lido
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%63%50%100%
1.575%25%38%50%
2.550%13%13%50%
3.525%0%13%25%
4.513%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTrefelinAfan Lido
HATHAT
Clean sheets213000
Failed to score101224

Penalties

MetricTrefelinAfan Lido
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricTrefelinAfan Lido
Wins21
Draws20
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-5—1-4
Biggest losses0-2—0-44-0
Goals For4514
Goals Against3144

Model comparison

MetricTrefelinAfan Lido
Form79%21%
Att75%25%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h50%50%
Goals44%56%
Total64.7%35.3%

Advice: Double chance : Trefelin or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.25 @ Bet365
Draw6.88 @ Pinnacle
Away10.08 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.33 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.25 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.71 @ Superbet
No2.07 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Trefelin = 2.83 (league 1.62), Afan Lido = 1.40 (league 1.49)

Afan Lido
0 1 2 3 4 5
Trefelin 0 1.5% 2.0% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
1 4.1% 5.8% 4.0% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
2 5.8% 8.2% 5.7% 2.7% 0.9% 0.3%
3 5.5% 7.7% 5.4% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2%
4 3.9% 5.4% 3.8% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
5 2.2% 3.1% 2.2% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.4% · Draw 16.2% · Away win 16.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1