Fri, Oct 10 2025 • 18:30 • The Avondale Motor Park Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.62 (league 1.62) 5.65 (league 1.49)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
0.6% 1.7% 48.0%
best score tips
0 - 5
9.1%
0 - 4
8.1%
0 - 3
5.7%
Score & goals probability table
Caerau (Ely)
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cwmbran Celtic 0 0.2% 1.1% 3.0% 5.7% 8.1% 9.1%
1 0.1% 0.7% 1.9% 3.5% 5.0% 5.6%
2 0.0% 0.2% 0.6% 1.1% 1.5% 1.7%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCwmbran CelticCaerau (Ely)
Played55
Form20%67%
Attack86%100%
Defense0%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.211 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

71%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cwmbran Celtic Caerau (Ely)
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins0%0%0%60%75%67%
Draws50%20%33%40%0%22%
Loses50%80%67%0%25%11%

Form: Cwmbran Celtic: LLLLDDLDL • Caerau (Ely): WDWWWLDWW

League goals

Metric Cwmbran Celtic Caerau (Ely)
HATHAT
GF total43761218
GF avg1.00.60.81.23.02.0
GA total111425246
GA avg2.82.82.80.41.00.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCwmbran CelticCaerau (Ely)
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%100%89%44%
1.522%89%56%11%
2.50%44%22%11%
3.50%44%22%0%
4.50%0%11%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCwmbran CelticCaerau (Ely)
HATHAT
Clean sheets000325
Failed to score134101

Penalties

MetricCwmbran CelticCaerau (Ely)
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricCwmbran CelticCaerau (Ely)
Wins03
Draws21
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——2-00-5
Biggest losses0-44-0—3-2
Goals For2225
Goals Against4413

Model comparison

MetricCwmbran CelticCaerau (Ely)
Form23%77%
Att35%65%
Def31%69%
Poisson Distribution9%91%
H2h80%20%
Goals55%45%
Total38.8%61.2%

Advice: Combo Winner : Caerau (Ely) and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home7.37 @ 1xBet
Draw4.69 @ Pinnacle
Away1.40 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ Betfair
Under 2.52.11 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Betfair
No1.81 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cwmbran Celtic = 0.62 (league 1.62), Caerau (Ely) = 5.65 (league 1.49)

Caerau (Ely)
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cwmbran Celtic 0 0.2% 1.1% 3.0% 5.7% 8.1% 9.1%
1 0.1% 0.7% 1.9% 3.5% 5.0% 5.6%
2 0.0% 0.2% 0.6% 1.1% 1.5% 1.7%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 0.6% · Draw 1.7% · Away win 48.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1