Fri, Oct 24 2025 • 18:30 • Cwrt-yr-Ala
Match Postponed
Expected Goals
0.63 (league 1.62) 1.40 (league 1.49)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
16.7% 27.5% 55.5%
best score tips
0 - 1
18.4%
0 - 0
13.2%
0 - 2
12.9%
Score & goals probability table
Trefelin
0 1 2 3 4 5
Caerau (Ely) 0 13.2% 18.4% 12.9% 6.0% 2.1% 0.6%
1 8.3% 11.6% 8.1% 3.8% 1.3% 0.4%
2 2.6% 3.6% 2.5% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.5% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCaerau (Ely)Trefelin
Played55
Form87%73%
Attack81%63%
Defense75%94%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.610 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.81 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Caerau (Ely) Trefelin
HATHAT
Played65115510
Wins67%80%73%40%80%60%
Draws33%0%18%40%20%30%
Loses0%20%9%20%0%10%

Form: Caerau (Ely): WDWWWLDWWWW • Trefelin: WLWWDDWWDW

League goals

Metric Caerau (Ely) Trefelin
HATHAT
GF total10142491322
GF avg1.72.82.21.82.62.2
GA total549538
GA avg0.80.80.81.00.60.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCaerau (Ely)Trefelin
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.591%45%80%50%
1.564%18%70%20%
2.527%18%40%10%
3.527%0%20%0%
4.59%0%10%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCaerau (Ely)Trefelin
HATHAT
Clean sheets336325
Failed to score101202

Penalties

MetricCaerau (Ely)Trefelin
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricCaerau (Ely)Trefelin
Wins32
Draws12
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-54-00-5
Biggest losses—3-20-2—
Goals For4545
Goals Against3331

Model comparison

MetricCaerau (Ely)Trefelin
Form54%46%
Att57%43%
Def20%80%
Poisson Distribution29%72%
H2h40%60%
Goals47%53%
Total41.2%59.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Trefelin

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.51 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.90 @ Bet365
Away2.50 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.65 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.45 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.40 @ Marathonbet
No2.70 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Caerau (Ely) = 0.63 (league 1.62), Trefelin = 1.40 (league 1.49)

Trefelin
0 1 2 3 4 5
Caerau (Ely) 0 13.2% 18.4% 12.9% 6.0% 2.1% 0.6%
1 8.3% 11.6% 8.1% 3.8% 1.3% 0.4%
2 2.6% 3.6% 2.5% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.5% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.7% · Draw 27.5% · Away win 55.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1