Wed, Dec 17 2025 • 19:30 •
Cwrt-yr-Ala
Expected Goals
0.49 (league 1.73)
1.90 (league 1.45)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 8.7% | 19.9% | 70.0% |
best score tips
0 - 1
17.4%
0 - 2
16.5%
0 - 3
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Trefelin | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Caerau (Ely) | 0 | 9.2% | 17.4% | 16.5% | 10.4% | 5.0% | 1.9% |
| 1 | 4.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | |
| 2 | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Caerau (Ely) | Trefelin |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 87% |
| Attack | 52% | 38% |
| Defense | 52% | 100% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
84%
FT probability
2.5+
59%
FT probability
3.5+
42%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Caerau (Ely) | Trefelin | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 7 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| Wins | 57% | 57% | 57% | 57% | 83% | 69% |
| Draws | 29% | 14% | 21% | 29% | 17% | 23% |
| Loses | 14% | 29% | 21% | 14% | 0% | 8% |
Form: Caerau (Ely): WDWWWLDWWWWLLD • Trefelin: WLWWDDWWDWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Caerau (Ely) | Trefelin | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 17 | 29 | 13 | 15 | 28 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 2.5 | 2.2 |
| GA total | 8 | 8 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Caerau (Ely) | Trefelin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 93% | 57% | 85% | 38% |
| 1.5 | 64% | 29% | 77% | 15% |
| 2.5 | 21% | 29% | 31% | 8% |
| 3.5 | 21% | 0% | 15% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 7% | 0% | 8% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Caerau (Ely) | Trefelin | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Caerau (Ely) | Trefelin |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Caerau (Ely) | Trefelin |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-5 | 4-0 | 0-5 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 3-2 | 0-2 | — |
| Goals For | 4 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Caerau (Ely) | Trefelin |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 35% | 65% |
| Att | 58% | 42% |
| Def | 0% | 100% |
| Poisson Distribution | 19% | 81% |
| H2h | 40% | 60% |
| Goals | 47% | 53% |
| Total | 39.8% | 60.2% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Trefelin
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Caerau (Ely) = 0.49 (league 1.73), Trefelin = 1.90 (league 1.45)
| Trefelin | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Caerau (Ely) | 0 | 9.2% | 17.4% | 16.5% | 10.4% | 5.0% | 1.9% |
| 1 | 4.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | |
| 2 | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 8.7% · Draw 19.9% · Away win 70.0%
Vtot 6 , Vtod1