Fri, Oct 24 2025 • 18:30 • Richmond Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.84 (league 1.62) 0.26 (league 1.49)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.9% 41.0% 11.1%
best score tips
0 - 0
33.3%
1 - 0
27.9%
2 - 0
11.7%
Score & goals probability table
Afan Lido
0 1 2 3 4 5
Carmarthen Town 0 33.3% 8.7% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 27.9% 7.3% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.7% 3.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCarmarthen TownAfan Lido
Played55
Form40%13%
Attack25%13%
Defense69%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Carmarthen Town Afan Lido
HATHAT
Played64104610
Wins50%25%40%0%33%20%
Draws50%50%50%25%17%20%
Loses0%25%10%75%50%60%

Form: Carmarthen Town: WWDWDLDWDD • Afan Lido: LLWLWLLLDD

League goals

Metric Carmarthen Town Afan Lido
HATHAT
GF total56112810
GF avg0.81.51.10.51.31.0
GA total24691019
GA avg0.31.00.62.31.71.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCarmarthen TownAfan Lido
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%40%50%90%
1.520%10%30%40%
2.510%10%10%40%
3.510%0%10%20%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCarmarthen TownAfan Lido
HATHAT
Clean sheets426011
Failed to score213235

Penalties

MetricCarmarthen TownAfan Lido
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricCarmarthen TownAfan Lido
Wins21
Draws10
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-4—1-4
Biggest losses—3-10-44-0
Goals For2414
Goals Against1344

Model comparison

MetricCarmarthen TownAfan Lido
Form75%25%
Att67%33%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h25%75%
Goals38%63%
Total57.0%43.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Carmarthen Town or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.36 @ Bet365
Draw5.28 @ Pinnacle
Away7.85 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.64 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.68 @ 1xBet
No2.04 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Carmarthen Town = 0.84 (league 1.62), Afan Lido = 0.26 (league 1.49)

Afan Lido
0 1 2 3 4 5
Carmarthen Town 0 33.3% 8.7% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 27.9% 7.3% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.7% 3.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.9% · Draw 41.0% · Away win 11.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1