Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 13:30 •
The Montgomery Waters Latham Park Stadium
Expected Goals
5.91 (league 1.62)
1.21 (league 1.49)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 41.3% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
best score tips
5 - 1
5.9%
4 - 1
5.0%
5 - 0
4.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Holyhead Hotspur | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Newtown AFC | 0 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 4.9% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Newtown AFC | Holyhead Hotspur |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 20% |
| Attack | 46% | 39% |
| Defense | 64% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 14 | 2.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
83%
FT probability
3.5+
59%
FT probability
BTTS
84%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Newtown AFC | Holyhead Hotspur | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| Wins | 100% | 40% | 70% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 0% | 20% | 10% | 50% | 40% | 44% |
| Loses | 0% | 40% | 20% | 50% | 60% | 56% |
Form: Newtown AFC: WWWDWLWWLW • Holyhead Hotspur: LLDLLDDDL
League goals
| Metric | Newtown AFC | Holyhead Hotspur | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 9 | 25 | 3 | 9 | 12 |
| GF avg | 3.2 | 1.8 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 5 | 10 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 21 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3.0 | 2.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Newtown AFC | Holyhead Hotspur | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 90% | 67% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 80% | 50% | 22% | 44% |
| 2.5 | 50% | 10% | 22% | 44% |
| 3.5 | 30% | 0% | 11% | 33% |
| 4.5 | 10% | 0% | 11% | 11% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Newtown AFC | Holyhead Hotspur | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Newtown AFC | Holyhead Hotspur |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Newtown AFC | Holyhead Hotspur |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 2-5 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-0 | 1-3 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 5 | 1 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Newtown AFC | Holyhead Hotspur |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 75% | 25% |
| Att | 54% | 46% |
| Def | 58% | 42% |
| Poisson Distribution | 82% | 18% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 67.3% | 32.8% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Newtown AFC and +2.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Newtown AFC = 5.91 (league 1.62), Holyhead Hotspur = 1.21 (league 1.49)
| Holyhead Hotspur | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Newtown AFC | 0 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 4.9% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.3% · Draw 3.0% · Away win 1.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1