Fri, Oct 31 2025 • 19:30 •
Princess Margaret Way
Expected Goals
0.25 (league 1.62)
4.34 (league 1.49)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5% | 2.4% | 70.2% |
best score tips
0 - 4
15.1%
0 - 3
13.9%
0 - 5
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Caerau (Ely) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Afan Lido | 0 | 1.0% | 4.4% | 9.6% | 13.9% | 15.1% | 13.1% |
| 1 | 0.3% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | |
| 2 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Afan Lido | Caerau (Ely) |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 87% |
| Attack | 15% | 100% |
| Defense | 54% | 69% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 13 | 2.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
86%
FT probability
2.5+
61%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Afan Lido | Caerau (Ely) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 7 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Wins | 0% | 29% | 18% | 67% | 80% | 73% |
| Draws | 25% | 14% | 18% | 33% | 0% | 18% |
| Loses | 75% | 57% | 64% | 0% | 20% | 9% |
Form: Afan Lido: LLWLWLLLDDL • Caerau (Ely): WDWWWLDWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Afan Lido | Caerau (Ely) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 24 |
| GF avg | 0.5 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.7 | 2.8 | 2.2 |
| GA total | 9 | 11 | 20 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| GA avg | 2.3 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Afan Lido | Caerau (Ely) | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 45% | 91% | 91% | 45% |
| 1.5 | 27% | 36% | 64% | 18% |
| 2.5 | 9% | 36% | 27% | 18% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 18% | 27% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 9% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Afan Lido | Caerau (Ely) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Afan Lido | Caerau (Ely) |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Afan Lido | Caerau (Ely) |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-4 | 2-0 | 0-5 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 4-0 | — | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Afan Lido | Caerau (Ely) |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 13% | 87% |
| Att | 13% | 87% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 5% | 95% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 38% | 62% |
| Total | 23.0% | 77.0% |
Advice: Winner : Caerau (Ely)
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Afan Lido = 0.25 (league 1.62), Caerau (Ely) = 4.34 (league 1.49)
| Caerau (Ely) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Afan Lido | 0 | 1.0% | 4.4% | 9.6% | 13.9% | 15.1% | 13.1% |
| 1 | 0.3% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | |
| 2 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 0.5% · Draw 2.4% · Away win 70.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1