Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 14:00 •
The New Oval
Expected Goals
0.84 (league 1.71)
2.39 (league 1.44)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 11.3% | 16.9% | 68.3% |
best score tips
0 - 2
11.3%
1 - 2
9.5%
0 - 1
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Denbigh Town | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Holyhead Hotspur | 0 | 4.0% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 5.4% | 2.6% |
| 1 | 3.3% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 2.2% | |
| 2 | 1.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Holyhead Hotspur | Denbigh Town |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 47% |
| Attack | 53% | 80% |
| Defense | 27% | 33% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 12 | 2.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
69%
FT probability
3.5+
49%
FT probability
BTTS
84%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Holyhead Hotspur | Denbigh Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 6 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 57% | 25% | 45% |
| Draws | 50% | 33% | 40% | 29% | 25% | 27% |
| Loses | 50% | 67% | 60% | 14% | 50% | 27% |
Form: Holyhead Hotspur: LLDLLDDDLL • Denbigh Town: WLWWDDWLWLD
League goals
| Metric | Holyhead Hotspur | Denbigh Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 9 | 26 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 2.4 |
| GA total | 6 | 16 | 22 | 10 | 7 | 17 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 2.7 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Holyhead Hotspur | Denbigh Town | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 60% | 100% | 100% | 91% |
| 1.5 | 20% | 40% | 64% | 45% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 40% | 36% | 9% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 30% | 18% | 9% |
| 4.5 | 10% | 10% | 18% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Holyhead Hotspur | Denbigh Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Holyhead Hotspur | Denbigh Town |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Holyhead Hotspur | Denbigh Town |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | 5-1 | 0-5 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 4-0 | 1-2 | 4-2 |
| Goals For | 1 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Holyhead Hotspur | Denbigh Town |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 30% | 70% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 48% | 52% |
| Poisson Distribution | 25% | 75% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 43% | 57% |
| Total | 37.2% | 62.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Denbigh Town and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Holyhead Hotspur = 0.84 (league 1.71), Denbigh Town = 2.39 (league 1.44)
| Denbigh Town | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Holyhead Hotspur | 0 | 4.0% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 5.4% | 2.6% |
| 1 | 3.3% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 2.2% | |
| 2 | 1.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.3% · Draw 16.9% · Away win 68.3%
Vtot 3 , Vtod1