Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 14:00 • Alyn Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.05 (league 1.71) 1.75 (league 1.44)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
22.6% 23.6% 52.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.2%
0 - 1
10.7%
1 - 2
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Newtown AFC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mold Alexandra 0 6.1% 10.7% 9.3% 5.4% 2.4% 0.8%
1 6.4% 11.2% 9.8% 5.7% 2.5% 0.9%
2 3.4% 5.9% 5.1% 3.0% 1.3% 0.5%
3 1.2% 2.1% 1.8% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMold AlexandraNewtown AFC
Played55
Form60%80%
Attack32%50%
Defense82%68%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.411 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mold Alexandra Newtown AFC
HATHAT
Played56116612
Wins0%67%36%100%50%75%
Draws60%0%27%0%17%8%
Loses40%33%36%0%33%17%

Form: Mold Alexandra: DWDLDLWLWLW • Newtown AFC: WWWDWLWWLWWW

League goals

Metric Mold Alexandra Newtown AFC
HATHAT
GF total5813171128
GF avg1.01.31.22.81.82.3
GA total741151116
GA avg1.40.71.00.81.81.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMold AlexandraNewtown AFC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%55%83%83%
1.527%36%75%42%
2.59%9%42%8%
3.50%0%25%0%
4.50%0%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMold AlexandraNewtown AFC
HATHAT
Clean sheets145202
Failed to score112022

Penalties

MetricMold AlexandraNewtown AFC
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricMold AlexandraNewtown AFC
Wins13
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-34-12-5
Biggest losses1-23-1—3-0
Goals For2345
Goals Against2323

Model comparison

MetricMold AlexandraNewtown AFC
Form43%57%
Att39%61%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution36%64%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total45.5%54.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Newtown AFC

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.58 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.86 @ Pinnacle
Away2.33 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.62 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.25 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.54 @ Superbet
No2.34 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mold Alexandra = 1.05 (league 1.71), Newtown AFC = 1.75 (league 1.44)

Newtown AFC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mold Alexandra 0 6.1% 10.7% 9.3% 5.4% 2.4% 0.8%
1 6.4% 11.2% 9.8% 5.7% 2.5% 0.9%
2 3.4% 5.9% 5.1% 3.0% 1.3% 0.5%
3 1.2% 2.1% 1.8% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.6% · Draw 23.6% · Away win 52.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1