Wed, Dec 10 2025 • 19:30 • Newport Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.61 (league 1.71) 0.47 (league 1.50)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
32.4% 44.5% 23.1%
best score tips
0 - 0
34.1%
1 - 0
20.7%
0 - 1
15.9%
Score & goals probability table
Cardiff Draconians
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newport City 0 34.1% 15.9% 3.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.7% 9.7% 2.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 6.3% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNewport CityCardiff Draconians
Played55
Form40%67%
Attack21%79%
Defense71%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.611 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Newport City Cardiff Draconians
HATHAT
Played69156713
Wins33%33%33%67%43%54%
Draws67%33%47%0%29%15%
Loses0%33%20%33%29%31%

Form: Newport City: WWDDDWWLDLWDDLD • Cardiff Draconians: LLLWWDWWWDWLW

League goals

Metric Newport City Cardiff Draconians
HATHAT
GF total51520121022
GF avg0.81.71.32.01.41.7
GA total314177916
GA avg0.51.61.11.21.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNewport CityCardiff Draconians
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%67%69%69%
1.540%27%62%23%
2.520%13%31%15%
3.50%7%8%8%
4.50%0%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNewport CityCardiff Draconians
HATHAT
Clean sheets325134
Failed to score224224

Penalties

MetricNewport CityCardiff Draconians
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricNewport CityCardiff Draconians
Wins23
Draws31
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-33-01-3
Biggest losses—2-00-15-2
Goals For2343
Goals Against1435

Model comparison

MetricNewport CityCardiff Draconians
Form38%63%
Att21%79%
Def69%31%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total45.3%55.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Cardiff Draconians

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.00 @ Bet365
Draw4.00 @ William Hill
Away3.51 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.62 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.25 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ Betfair
No2.30 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Newport City = 0.61 (league 1.71), Cardiff Draconians = 0.47 (league 1.50)

Cardiff Draconians
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newport City 0 34.1% 15.9% 3.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.7% 9.7% 2.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 6.3% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.4% · Draw 44.5% · Away win 23.1%

vtt 7 , vtd1