Wed, Feb 4 2026 • 19:45 • Cae Baker
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.05 (league 1.71) 1.02 (league 1.46)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.3% 20.7% 18.1%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.9%
2 - 0
9.7%
1 - 1
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Caersws
0 1 2 3 4 5
Penrhyncoch 0 4.6% 4.7% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 9.5% 9.7% 5.0% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.7% 9.9% 5.1% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 6.6% 6.8% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 3.4% 3.5% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.4% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPenrhyncochCaersws
Played55
Form47%87%
Attack36%79%
Defense43%79%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 111 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Penrhyncoch Caersws
HATHAT
Played8111991019
Wins25%9%16%44%20%32%
Draws25%27%26%33%10%21%
Loses50%64%58%22%70%47%

Form: Penrhyncoch: DLLLDDLLLLLLWDWDLWL • Caersws: LWLLLLLDDLDLWLWWWDW

League goals

Metric Penrhyncoch Caersws
HATHAT
GF total131124161026
GF avg1.61.01.31.81.01.4
GA total122840112233
GA avg1.52.52.11.22.21.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePenrhyncochCaersws
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.584%84%68%74%
1.521%58%42%58%
2.55%47%16%32%
3.55%21%5%11%
4.55%0%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPenrhyncochCaersws
HATHAT
Clean sheets213325
Failed to score123246

Penalties

MetricPenrhyncochCaersws
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricPenrhyncochCaersws
Wins13
Draws22
Losses65

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-00-15-10-2
Biggest losses1-44-01-34-0
Goals For6253
Goals Against4434

Model comparison

MetricPenrhyncochCaersws
Form35%65%
Att31%69%
Def27%73%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h88%13%
Goals70%30%
Total52.7%47.5%

Advice: Double chance : Penrhyncoch or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.42 @ 188Bet
Draw3.87 @ Pinnacle
Away2.50 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.40 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.50 @ William Hill
No2.60 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Penrhyncoch = 2.05 (league 1.71), Caersws = 1.02 (league 1.46)

Caersws
0 1 2 3 4 5
Penrhyncoch 0 4.6% 4.7% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 9.5% 9.7% 5.0% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.7% 9.9% 5.1% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 6.6% 6.8% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 3.4% 3.5% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.4% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.3% · Draw 20.7% · Away win 18.1%

vtt 5 , vtd1