Sat, Nov 15 2025 • 14:30 • The Montgomery Waters Latham Park Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.98 (league 1.71) 0.89 (league 1.44)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.4% 32.1% 31.4%
best score tips
0 - 0
15.5%
1 - 0
15.1%
0 - 1
13.7%
Score & goals probability table
Holywell
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newtown AFC 0 15.5% 13.7% 6.1% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.1% 13.4% 6.0% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 7.4% 6.6% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.4% 2.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNewtown AFCHolywell
Played55
Form80%67%
Attack67%80%
Defense60%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 212 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Newtown AFC Holywell
HATHAT
Played67138513
Wins100%57%77%75%80%77%
Draws0%14%8%13%20%15%
Loses0%29%15%13%0%8%

Form: Newtown AFC: WWWDWLWWLWWWW • Holywell: WWWWWWWDDWWWL

League goals

Metric Newtown AFC Holywell
HATHAT
GF total17143130838
GF avg2.82.02.43.81.62.9
GA total5121710313
GA avg0.81.71.31.30.61.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNewtown AFCHolywell
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%85%85%77%
1.577%38%69%8%
2.546%8%46%8%
3.523%0%38%8%
4.58%0%23%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNewtown AFCHolywell
HATHAT
Clean sheets202123
Failed to score022112

Penalties

MetricNewtown AFCHolywell
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricNewtown AFCHolywell
Wins37
Draws12
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-12-56-01-3
Biggest losses—3-00-1—
Goals For4583
Goals Against2341

Model comparison

MetricNewtown AFCHolywell
Form55%45%
Att45%55%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h0%100%
Goals40%60%
Total44.6%55.4%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Holywell

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.68 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.70 @ Bet365
Away2.30 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.60 @ Betano
Under 2.52.40 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.47 @ Superbet
No2.59 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Newtown AFC = 0.98 (league 1.71), Holywell = 0.89 (league 1.44)

Holywell
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newtown AFC 0 15.5% 13.7% 6.1% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.1% 13.4% 6.0% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 7.4% 6.6% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.4% 2.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.4% · Draw 32.1% · Away win 31.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1