Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 14:00 • Windmill Ground
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.59 (league 1.71) 0.76 (league 1.44)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
56.6% 25.0% 17.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.1%
2 - 0
12.0%
1 - 1
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
Afan Lido
0 1 2 3 4 5
Llantwit Major 0 9.5% 7.2% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.1% 11.5% 4.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.0% 9.2% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.4% 4.9% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.5% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLlantwit MajorAfan Lido
Played55
Form60%33%
Attack57%43%
Defense64%14%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 112 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Llantwit Major Afan Lido
HATHAT
Played76136814
Wins43%0%23%17%25%21%
Draws29%67%46%33%13%21%
Loses29%33%31%50%63%57%

Form: Llantwit Major: LLDLDWDLDWWDD • Afan Lido: LLWLWLLLDDLWLD

League goals

Metric Llantwit Major Afan Lido
HATHAT
GF total97167815
GF avg1.31.21.21.21.01.1
GA total8917131730
GA avg1.11.51.32.22.12.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLlantwit MajorAfan Lido
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%77%50%93%
1.538%46%36%50%
2.58%8%14%36%
3.50%0%7%21%
4.50%0%0%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLlantwit MajorAfan Lido
HATHAT
Clean sheets213011
Failed to score213257

Penalties

MetricLlantwit MajorAfan Lido
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricLlantwit MajorAfan Lido
Wins21
Draws12
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0—3-21-4
Biggest losses0-22-10-46-0
Goals For2334
Goals Against2346

Model comparison

MetricLlantwit MajorAfan Lido
Form64%36%
Att57%43%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h60%40%
Goals53%47%
Total61.7%38.3%

Advice: Double chance : Llantwit Major or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.42 @ Bet365
Draw4.57 @ Pinnacle
Away6.45 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.62 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.25 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ Marathonbet
No1.93 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Llantwit Major = 1.59 (league 1.71), Afan Lido = 0.76 (league 1.44)

Afan Lido
0 1 2 3 4 5
Llantwit Major 0 9.5% 7.2% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.1% 11.5% 4.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.0% 9.2% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.4% 4.9% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.5% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.6% · Draw 25.0% · Away win 17.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1