Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 14:00 •
Bush Park
Expected Goals
1.31 (league 1.71)
3.03 (league 1.44)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 13.3% | 14.5% | 63.3% |
best score tips
1 - 3
7.9%
1 - 2
7.8%
0 - 3
6.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Newport City | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Treowen Stars | 0 | 1.3% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.8% |
| 1 | 1.7% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 3.6% | |
| 2 | 1.1% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Treowen Stars | Newport City |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 40% |
| Attack | 93% | 50% |
| Defense | 21% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
70%
FT probability
3.5+
50%
FT probability
BTTS
79%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Treowen Stars | Newport City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 8 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 13 |
| Wins | 17% | 25% | 21% | 40% | 38% | 38% |
| Draws | 33% | 25% | 29% | 60% | 38% | 46% |
| Loses | 50% | 50% | 50% | 0% | 25% | 15% |
Form: Treowen Stars: LWLLDDDLLLWDLW • Newport City: WWDDDWWLDLWDD
League goals
| Metric | Treowen Stars | Newport City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 15 | 24 | 5 | 15 | 20 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 14 | 19 | 33 | 3 | 12 | 15 |
| GA avg | 2.3 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Treowen Stars | Newport City | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 79% | 86% | 85% | 69% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 57% | 46% | 23% |
| 2.5 | 29% | 50% | 23% | 15% |
| 3.5 | 14% | 29% | 0% | 8% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 14% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Treowen Stars | Newport City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Treowen Stars | Newport City |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Treowen Stars | Newport City |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-4 | 2-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-5 | 4-0 | — | 4-3 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 5 | 1 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Treowen Stars | Newport City |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 54% | 46% |
| Att | 65% | 35% |
| Def | 39% | 61% |
| Poisson Distribution | 29% | 71% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 46.8% | 53.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Newport City and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Treowen Stars = 1.31 (league 1.71), Newport City = 3.03 (league 1.44)
| Newport City | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Treowen Stars | 0 | 1.3% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.8% |
| 1 | 1.7% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 3.6% | |
| 2 | 1.1% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 13.3% · Draw 14.5% · Away win 63.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1