Fri, Dec 5 2025 • 19:30 •
Cwrt-yr-Ala
Expected Goals
2.38 (league 1.71)
1.45 (league 1.44)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 54.8% | 19.2% | 22.2% |
best score tips
2 - 1
8.9%
1 - 1
7.5%
3 - 1
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Treowen Stars | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Caerau (Ely) | 0 | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 5.2% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.2% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Caerau (Ely) | Treowen Stars |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 67% |
| Attack | 85% | 100% |
| Defense | 23% | 38% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 13 | 2.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
71%
FT probability
3.5+
51%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Caerau (Ely) | Treowen Stars | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 7 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 15 |
| Wins | 57% | 57% | 57% | 29% | 25% | 27% |
| Draws | 29% | 14% | 21% | 29% | 25% | 27% |
| Loses | 14% | 29% | 21% | 43% | 50% | 47% |
Form: Caerau (Ely): WDWWWLDWWWWLLD • Treowen Stars: LWLLDDDLLLWDLWW
League goals
| Metric | Caerau (Ely) | Treowen Stars | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 17 | 29 | 11 | 15 | 26 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 8 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 19 | 33 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 2.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Caerau (Ely) | Treowen Stars | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 93% | 57% | 80% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 64% | 29% | 53% | 53% |
| 2.5 | 21% | 29% | 27% | 47% |
| 3.5 | 21% | 0% | 13% | 27% |
| 4.5 | 7% | 0% | 0% | 13% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Caerau (Ely) | Treowen Stars | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Caerau (Ely) | Treowen Stars |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Caerau (Ely) | Treowen Stars |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-5 | 3-0 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 3-2 | 0-5 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 5 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Caerau (Ely) | Treowen Stars |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 41% | 59% |
| Att | 46% | 54% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 59% | 41% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 47.5% | 52.5% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Caerau (Ely) or draw and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Caerau (Ely) = 2.38 (league 1.71), Treowen Stars = 1.45 (league 1.44)
| Treowen Stars | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Caerau (Ely) | 0 | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 5.2% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.2% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.8% · Draw 19.2% · Away win 22.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1