Tue, Mar 10 2026 • 19:30 •
Cwrt-yr-Ala
Expected Goals
2.57 (league 1.71)
1.58 (league 1.48)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 54.4% | 18.3% | 22.1% |
best score tips
2 - 1
8.2%
3 - 1
7.1%
2 - 2
6.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Treowen Stars | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Caerau (Ely) | 0 | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 5.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 4.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Caerau (Ely) | Treowen Stars |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 33% |
| Attack | 100% | 64% |
| Defense | 18% | 27% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 14 | 2.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
72%
FT probability
3.5+
51%
FT probability
BTTS
80%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Caerau (Ely) | Treowen Stars | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 12 | 25 | 10 | 12 | 22 |
| Wins | 62% | 50% | 56% | 40% | 25% | 32% |
| Draws | 15% | 17% | 16% | 30% | 25% | 27% |
| Loses | 23% | 33% | 28% | 30% | 50% | 41% |
Form: Caerau (Ely): WDWWWLDWWWWLLDWLWDLWWLLWW • Treowen Stars: LWLLDDDLLLWDLWWWWLWDLD
League goals
| Metric | Caerau (Ely) | Treowen Stars | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 26 | 27 | 53 | 16 | 21 | 37 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 17 | 16 | 33 | 16 | 26 | 42 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 1.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Caerau (Ely) | Treowen Stars | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 88% | 68% | 86% | 77% |
| 1.5 | 60% | 32% | 55% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 32% | 28% | 18% | 36% |
| 3.5 | 24% | 4% | 9% | 18% |
| 4.5 | 8% | 0% | 0% | 9% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Caerau (Ely) | Treowen Stars | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Caerau (Ely) | Treowen Stars |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 7 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 7 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Caerau (Ely) | Treowen Stars |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-5 | 3-0 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 3-4 | 3-0 | 0-5 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 5 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Caerau (Ely) | Treowen Stars |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 64% | 36% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 47% | 53% |
| Poisson Distribution | 59% | 41% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 59.3% | 40.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Caerau (Ely) or draw and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Caerau (Ely) = 2.57 (league 1.71), Treowen Stars = 1.58 (league 1.48)
| Treowen Stars | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Caerau (Ely) | 0 | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 5.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 4.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.4% · Draw 18.3% · Away win 22.1%
vtt 5 , vtd1