Fri, Jan 16 2026 • 19:30 • The Avondale Motor Park Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.57 (league 1.72) 2.00 (league 1.50)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
9.5% 19.2% 69.6%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.4%
0 - 2
15.3%
0 - 3
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
Cardiff Draconians
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cwmbran Celtic 0 7.7% 15.4% 15.3% 10.2% 5.1% 2.0%
1 4.4% 8.7% 8.7% 5.8% 2.9% 1.2%
2 1.2% 2.5% 2.5% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3%
3 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCwmbran CelticCardiff Draconians
Played55
Form13%40%
Attack26%42%
Defense26%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)14 | 2.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

85%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cwmbran Celtic Cardiff Draconians
HATHAT
Played710178917
Wins0%0%0%63%33%47%
Draws29%30%29%0%22%12%
Loses71%70%71%38%44%41%

Form: Cwmbran Celtic: LLLLDDLDLLLLLLDLD • Cardiff Draconians: LLLWWDWWWDWLWLWLL

League goals

Metric Cwmbran Celtic Cardiff Draconians
HATHAT
GF total5813141226
GF avg0.70.80.81.81.31.5
GA total16284491322
GA avg2.32.82.61.11.41.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCwmbran CelticCardiff Draconians
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.553%100%71%71%
1.524%82%53%35%
2.50%29%24%12%
3.50%29%6%6%
4.50%6%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCwmbran CelticCardiff Draconians
HATHAT
Clean sheets000235
Failed to score358325

Penalties

MetricCwmbran CelticCardiff Draconians
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricCwmbran CelticCardiff Draconians
Wins03
Draws21
Losses63

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——3-01-3
Biggest losses0-47-00-25-2
Goals For2243
Goals Against4735

Model comparison

MetricCwmbran CelticCardiff Draconians
Form25%75%
Att38%62%
Def39%61%
Poisson Distribution20%80%
H2h0%100%
Goals33%67%
Total31.0%69.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Cardiff Draconians

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.00 @ Betfair
Draw4.28 @ Pinnacle
Away1.58 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.40 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.63 @ Superbet
No2.25 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Cwmbran Celtic = 0.57 (league 1.72), Cardiff Draconians = 2.00 (league 1.50)

Cardiff Draconians
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cwmbran Celtic 0 7.7% 15.4% 15.3% 10.2% 5.1% 2.0%
1 4.4% 8.7% 8.7% 5.8% 2.9% 1.2%
2 1.2% 2.5% 2.5% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3%
3 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 9.5% · Draw 19.2% · Away win 69.6%

vtt 3 , vtd1