Fri, Dec 5 2025 • 19:30 • Newport Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.99 (league 1.71) 0.16 (league 1.46)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.1% 36.8% 6.1%
best score tips
0 - 0
31.5%
1 - 0
31.2%
2 - 0
15.5%
Score & goals probability table
Pontypridd Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newport City 0 31.5% 5.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 31.2% 5.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.5% 2.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 5.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNewport CityPontypridd Town
Played55
Form33%47%
Attack46%100%
Defense38%31%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.213 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Newport City Pontypridd Town
HATHAT
Played59148715
Wins40%33%36%50%0%27%
Draws60%33%43%0%43%20%
Loses0%33%21%50%57%53%

Form: Newport City: WWDDDWWLDLWDDL • Pontypridd Town: LLDLLWLDWLLLWDW

League goals

Metric Newport City Pontypridd Town
HATHAT
GF total5152023326
GF avg1.01.71.42.90.41.7
GA total31417161228
GA avg0.61.61.22.01.71.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNewport CityPontypridd Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%71%67%87%
1.543%29%47%67%
2.521%14%20%27%
3.50%7%13%7%
4.50%0%13%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNewport CityPontypridd Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets224112
Failed to score123055

Penalties

MetricNewport CityPontypridd Town
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 66.67%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 33.33%
Total13

Streaks

MetricNewport CityPontypridd Town
Wins21
Draws31
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-37-0—
Biggest losses—2-02-43-0
Goals For2372
Goals Against1443

Model comparison

MetricNewport CityPontypridd Town
Form42%58%
Att32%68%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution84%16%
H2h67%33%
Goals71%29%
Total58.2%41.8%

Advice: Double chance : Newport City or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.91 @ Bet365
Draw3.80 @ Pinnacle
Away3.57 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.60 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.30 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.53 @ Marathonbet
No2.29 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Newport City = 0.99 (league 1.71), Pontypridd Town = 0.16 (league 1.46)

Pontypridd Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newport City 0 31.5% 5.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 31.2% 5.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.5% 2.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 5.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.1% · Draw 36.8% · Away win 6.1%

vtt 3 , vtd1