Fri, Dec 5 2025 • 19:30 • Ynys Park
Match Postponed
Expected Goals
1.11 (league 1.71) 0.34 (league 1.44)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
55.4% 33.2% 11.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
26.1%
0 - 0
23.5%
2 - 0
14.4%
Score & goals probability table
Baglan Dragons
0 1 2 3 4 5
Trefelin 0 23.5% 8.0% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 26.1% 8.8% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.4% 4.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 5.3% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTrefelinBaglan Dragons
Played55
Form87%47%
Attack62%54%
Defense100%31%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)0 | 09 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Trefelin Baglan Dragons
HATHAT
Played76139615
Wins57%83%69%22%17%20%
Draws29%17%23%44%33%40%
Loses14%0%8%33%50%40%

Form: Trefelin: WLWWDDWWDWWWW • Baglan Dragons: WLDLDDDLLDDLWWL

League goals

Metric Trefelin Baglan Dragons
HATHAT
GF total13152813417
GF avg1.92.52.21.40.71.1
GA total53814620
GA avg0.70.50.61.61.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTrefelinBaglan Dragons
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%38%67%73%
1.577%15%27%33%
2.531%8%20%20%
3.515%0%0%7%
4.58%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTrefelinBaglan Dragons
HATHAT
Clean sheets538224
Failed to score202325

Penalties

MetricTrefelinBaglan Dragons
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricTrefelinBaglan Dragons
Wins22
Draws23
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-53-00-1
Biggest losses0-2—0-32-1
Goals For4531
Goals Against3142

Model comparison

MetricTrefelinBaglan Dragons
Form65%35%
Att53%47%
Def100%0%
Poisson Distribution75%25%
H2h62%38%
Goals50%50%
Total61.0%39.0%

Advice: Double chance : Trefelin or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.28 @ 10Bet
Draw5.35 @ Pinnacle
Away11.30 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.35 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Marathonbet
No1.70 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Trefelin = 1.11 (league 1.71), Baglan Dragons = 0.34 (league 1.44)

Baglan Dragons
0 1 2 3 4 5
Trefelin 0 23.5% 8.0% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 26.1% 8.8% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.4% 4.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 5.3% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.4% · Draw 33.2% · Away win 11.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1