Tue, Feb 17 2026 • 19:30 • Ynys Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.35 (league 1.71) 0.29 (league 1.46)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.2% 27.8% 7.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
26.3%
0 - 0
19.5%
2 - 0
17.7%
Score & goals probability table
Baglan Dragons
0 1 2 3 4 5
Trefelin 0 19.5% 5.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 26.3% 7.5% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.7% 5.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.0% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTrefelinBaglan Dragons
Played55
Form100%33%
Attack81%25%
Defense88%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Trefelin Baglan Dragons
HATHAT
Played91019111021
Wins67%90%79%27%10%19%
Draws22%10%16%36%40%38%
Loses11%0%5%36%50%43%

Form: Trefelin: WLWWDDWWDWWWWWWWWWW • Baglan Dragons: WLDLDDDLLDDLWWLLWDDLL

League goals

Metric Trefelin Baglan Dragons
HATHAT
GF total19254416622
GF avg2.12.52.31.50.61.0
GA total6410161127
GA avg0.70.40.51.51.11.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTrefelinBaglan Dragons
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%37%62%71%
1.584%11%24%33%
2.537%5%19%19%
3.516%0%0%5%
4.55%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTrefelinBaglan Dragons
HATHAT
Clean sheets6612246
Failed to score202448

Penalties

MetricTrefelinBaglan Dragons
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricTrefelinBaglan Dragons
Wins22
Draws23
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-53-00-1
Biggest losses0-2—0-33-1
Goals For4531
Goals Against3143

Model comparison

MetricTrefelinBaglan Dragons
Form75%25%
Att76%24%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution81%19%
H2h62%38%
Goals50%50%
Total69.2%30.8%

Advice: Double chance : Trefelin or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.35 @ 188Bet
Draw6.09 @ Pinnacle
Away14.20 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.65 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.20 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.34 @ Marathonbet
No1.74 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Trefelin = 1.35 (league 1.71), Baglan Dragons = 0.29 (league 1.46)

Baglan Dragons
0 1 2 3 4 5
Trefelin 0 19.5% 5.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 26.3% 7.5% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.7% 5.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.0% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.2% · Draw 27.8% · Away win 7.7%

vtt 2 , vtd1