Fri, Dec 5 2025 • 19:45 • The Montgomery Waters Latham Park Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
4.57 (league 1.71) 0.68 (league 1.46)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
63.5% 4.0% 1.7%
best score tips
4 - 0
9.5%
5 - 0
8.7%
3 - 0
8.3%
Score & goals probability table
Penrhyncoch
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newtown AFC 0 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 2.4% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 5.5% 3.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.3% 5.7% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 9.5% 6.5% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 8.7% 5.9% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNewtown AFCPenrhyncoch
Played55
Form67%20%
Attack69%77%
Defense54%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.810 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.215 | 3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

76%
FT probability

3.5+

54%
FT probability

BTTS

86%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Newtown AFC Penrhyncoch
HATHAT
Played78156713
Wins86%50%67%17%0%8%
Draws14%13%13%17%29%23%
Loses0%38%20%67%71%69%

Form: Newtown AFC: WWWDWLWWLWWWWDL • Penrhyncoch: DLLLDDLLLLLLW

League goals

Metric Newtown AFC Penrhyncoch
HATHAT
GF total19153411718
GF avg2.71.92.31.81.01.4
GA total71421112031
GA avg1.01.81.41.82.92.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNewtown AFCPenrhyncoch
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.587%87%85%92%
1.573%47%23%69%
2.540%7%8%54%
3.520%0%8%23%
4.57%0%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNewtown AFCPenrhyncoch
HATHAT
Clean sheets202101
Failed to score022112

Penalties

MetricNewtown AFCPenrhyncoch
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricNewtown AFCPenrhyncoch
Wins40
Draws12
Losses16

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-12-56-0—
Biggest losses—3-01-44-1
Goals For4562
Goals Against2344

Model comparison

MetricNewtown AFCPenrhyncoch
Form77%23%
Att47%53%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution86%14%
H2h100%0%
Goals67%33%
Total69.6%30.4%

Advice: Combo Winner : Newtown AFC and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.46 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.90 @ Pinnacle
Away6.07 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.36 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.49 @ Marathonbet
No2.39 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Newtown AFC = 4.57 (league 1.71), Penrhyncoch = 0.68 (league 1.46)

Penrhyncoch
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newtown AFC 0 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 2.4% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 5.5% 3.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.3% 5.7% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 9.5% 6.5% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 8.7% 5.9% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.5% · Draw 4.0% · Away win 1.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1