Fri, Dec 26 2025 • 14:00 • The New Oval
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.98 (league 1.71) 0.96 (league 1.48)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.5% 21.2% 17.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
10.4%
2 - 0
10.3%
1 - 1
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
Rhyl
0 1 2 3 4 5
Holyhead Hotspur 0 5.2% 5.1% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 10.4% 10.0% 4.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.3% 9.9% 4.8% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 6.8% 6.6% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.4% 3.3% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.3% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHolyhead HotspurRhyl
Played55
Form60%67%
Attack62%92%
Defense38%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.612 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%
FT probability

2.5+

66%
FT probability

3.5+

47%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Holyhead Hotspur Rhyl
HATHAT
Played79168816
Wins43%11%25%50%25%38%
Draws29%22%25%13%38%25%
Loses29%67%50%38%38%38%

Form: Holyhead Hotspur: LLDLLDDDLLWLWWWL • Rhyl: DWWLWDLDLLLWLDWW

League goals

Metric Holyhead Hotspur Rhyl
HATHAT
GF total12112317926
GF avg1.71.21.42.11.11.6
GA total92332161632
GA avg1.32.62.02.02.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHolyhead HotspurRhyl
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%88%69%81%
1.531%44%56%56%
2.531%38%31%31%
3.56%25%6%13%
4.56%6%0%13%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHolyhead HotspurRhyl
HATHAT
Clean sheets112213
Failed to score145235

Penalties

MetricHolyhead HotspurRhyl
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 66.67%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 33.33%
Total03

Streaks

MetricHolyhead HotspurRhyl
Wins32
Draws31
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-13-02-3
Biggest losses1-34-02-56-0
Goals For3543
Goals Against3556

Model comparison

MetricHolyhead HotspurRhyl
Form47%53%
Att40%60%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h0%100%
Goals43%57%
Total48.8%51.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Rhyl

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Holyhead Hotspur = 1.98 (league 1.71), Rhyl = 0.96 (league 1.48)

Rhyl
0 1 2 3 4 5
Holyhead Hotspur 0 5.2% 5.1% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 10.4% 10.0% 4.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.3% 9.9% 4.8% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 6.8% 6.6% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.4% 3.3% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.3% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.5% · Draw 21.2% · Away win 17.6%

vtt 4 , vtd1