Fri, Dec 26 2025 • 14:30 • The Montgomery Waters Latham Park Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.90 (league 1.71) 1.57 (league 1.46)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.3% 22.1% 31.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.3%
2 - 1
8.8%
1 - 2
7.3%
Score & goals probability table
Airbus UK
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newtown AFC 0 3.1% 4.9% 3.8% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2%
1 5.9% 9.3% 7.3% 3.8% 1.5% 0.5%
2 5.6% 8.8% 6.9% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4%
3 3.5% 5.6% 4.4% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3%
4 1.7% 2.6% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.6% 1.0% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNewtown AFCAirbus UK
Played55
Form53%47%
Attack64%93%
Defense50%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.813 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

73%
FT probability

3.5+

52%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Newtown AFC Airbus UK
HATHAT
Played88168715
Wins75%50%63%63%71%67%
Draws25%13%19%25%14%20%
Loses0%38%19%13%14%13%

Form: Newtown AFC: WWWDWLWWLWWWWDLD • Airbus UK: WWWDWWWWDWWLWLD

League goals

Metric Newtown AFC Airbus UK
HATHAT
GF total201535271643
GF avg2.51.92.23.42.32.9
GA total814225914
GA avg1.01.81.40.61.30.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNewtown AFCAirbus UK
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%88%87%40%
1.569%44%73%27%
2.538%6%53%13%
3.519%0%47%7%
4.56%0%20%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNewtown AFCAirbus UK
HATHAT
Clean sheets202639
Failed to score022112

Penalties

MetricNewtown AFCAirbus UK
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total04

Streaks

MetricNewtown AFCAirbus UK
Wins44
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-12-56-02-5
Biggest losses—3-02-35-0
Goals For4565
Goals Against2335

Model comparison

MetricNewtown AFCAirbus UK
Form53%47%
Att41%59%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h50%50%
Goals47%53%
Total49.7%50.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Airbus UK

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.05 @ Superbet
Draw3.90 @ Superbet
Away2.05 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.44 @ 188Bet
No2.88 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.75 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Newtown AFC = 1.90 (league 1.71), Airbus UK = 1.57 (league 1.46)

Airbus UK
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newtown AFC 0 3.1% 4.9% 3.8% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2%
1 5.9% 9.3% 7.3% 3.8% 1.5% 0.5%
2 5.6% 8.8% 6.9% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4%
3 3.5% 5.6% 4.4% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3%
4 1.7% 2.6% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.6% 1.0% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.3% · Draw 22.1% · Away win 31.7%

vtt 7 , vtd1