Sat, Dec 27 2025 • 14:00 • Newport Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.75 (league 1.71) 0.20 (league 1.48)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
75.7% 19.7% 3.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
24.8%
2 - 0
21.7%
0 - 0
14.2%
Score & goals probability table
Cwmbran Celtic
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newport City 0 14.2% 2.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.8% 5.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 21.7% 4.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.7% 2.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.6% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNewport CityCwmbran Celtic
Played55
Form40%0%
Attack40%10%
Defense50%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.81 | 0.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 113 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Newport City Cwmbran Celtic
HATHAT
Played79166814
Wins43%33%38%0%0%0%
Draws57%33%44%33%13%21%
Loses0%33%19%67%88%79%

Form: Newport City: WWDDDWWLDLWDDLDW • Cwmbran Celtic: LLLLDDLDLLLLLL

League goals

Metric Newport City Cwmbran Celtic
HATHAT
GF total71522448
GF avg1.01.71.40.70.50.6
GA total41418142438
GA avg0.61.61.12.33.02.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNewport CityCwmbran Celtic
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%69%43%100%
1.544%25%14%79%
2.519%13%0%36%
3.50%6%0%36%
4.50%0%0%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNewport CityCwmbran Celtic
HATHAT
Clean sheets325000
Failed to score224358

Penalties

MetricNewport CityCwmbran Celtic
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricNewport CityCwmbran Celtic
Wins20
Draws32
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-3——
Biggest losses—2-00-47-0
Goals For2322
Goals Against1447

Model comparison

MetricNewport CityCwmbran Celtic
Form100%0%
Att80%20%
Def72%28%
Poisson Distribution89%11%
H2h88%13%
Goals80%20%
Total81.8%18.4%

Advice: Double chance : Newport City or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.20 @ Bet365
Draw6.69 @ Pinnacle
Away14.50 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ Superbet
No1.75 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.88 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Newport City = 1.75 (league 1.71), Cwmbran Celtic = 0.20 (league 1.48)

Cwmbran Celtic
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newport City 0 14.2% 2.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.8% 5.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 21.7% 4.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.7% 2.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.6% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 75.7% · Draw 19.7% · Away win 3.8%

vtt 7 , vtd1