Thu, Jan 1 2026 • 14:00 •
Bartons North Wales Stadium
Expected Goals
5.18 (league 1.71)
0.98 (league 1.47)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 52.8% | 3.7% | 1.9% |
best score tips
5 - 0
6.6%
5 - 1
6.4%
4 - 0
6.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Holyhead Hotspur | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Holywell | 0 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 6.3% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 6.6% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Holywell | Holyhead Hotspur |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 80% |
| Attack | 64% | 91% |
| Defense | 36% | 45% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
78%
FT probability
3.5+
55%
FT probability
BTTS
80%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Holywell | Holyhead Hotspur | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 8 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 17 |
| Wins | 67% | 63% | 65% | 50% | 11% | 29% |
| Draws | 22% | 25% | 24% | 25% | 22% | 24% |
| Loses | 11% | 13% | 12% | 25% | 67% | 47% |
Form: Holywell: WWWWWWWDDWWWLDDLW • Holyhead Hotspur: LLDLLDDDLLWLWWWLW
League goals
| Metric | Holywell | Holyhead Hotspur | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 31 | 14 | 45 | 15 | 11 | 26 |
| GF avg | 3.4 | 1.8 | 2.6 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 11 | 8 | 19 | 10 | 23 | 33 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 2.6 | 1.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Holywell | Holyhead Hotspur | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 88% | 76% | 71% | 88% |
| 1.5 | 65% | 18% | 35% | 41% |
| 2.5 | 41% | 12% | 35% | 35% |
| 3.5 | 29% | 6% | 6% | 24% |
| 4.5 | 18% | 0% | 6% | 6% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Holywell | Holyhead Hotspur | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Holywell | Holyhead Hotspur |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Holywell | Holyhead Hotspur |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 7 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-0 | 0-3 | 3-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-1 | 1-3 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 8 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Holywell | Holyhead Hotspur |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 29% | 71% |
| Att | 41% | 59% |
| Def | 46% | 54% |
| Poisson Distribution | 82% | 18% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 73% | 27% |
| Total | 53.5% | 46.5% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Holywell and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Holywell = 5.18 (league 1.71), Holyhead Hotspur = 0.98 (league 1.47)
| Holyhead Hotspur | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Holywell | 0 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 6.3% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 6.6% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.8% · Draw 3.7% · Away win 1.9%
vtt 2 , vtd1