Mon, Mar 9 2026 • 19:45 • CCB Centre for Sporting Excellence
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.66 (league 1.71) 2.36 (league 1.46)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.4% 19.6% 50.0%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.3%
1 - 1
7.0%
2 - 2
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
Newport City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Trethomas Bluebirds 0 1.8% 4.2% 5.0% 3.9% 2.3% 1.1%
1 3.0% 7.0% 8.3% 6.5% 3.8% 1.8%
2 2.5% 5.9% 6.9% 5.4% 3.2% 1.5%
3 1.4% 3.2% 3.8% 3.0% 1.8% 0.8%
4 0.6% 1.3% 1.6% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTrethomas BluebirdsNewport City
Played55
Form27%47%
Attack62%62%
Defense23%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Trethomas Bluebirds Newport City
HATHAT
Played121224131124
Wins33%0%17%31%36%33%
Draws25%42%33%54%27%42%
Loses42%58%50%15%36%25%

Form: Trethomas Bluebirds: LDLWDLWDDDLLDLDWLLLWDLLL • Newport City: WWDDDWWLDLWDDLDWDDLLWWDL

League goals

Metric Trethomas Bluebirds Newport City
HATHAT
GF total231033171633
GF avg1.90.81.41.31.51.4
GA total282250151631
GA avg2.31.82.11.21.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTrethomas BluebirdsNewport City
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%92%75%75%
1.538%58%42%33%
2.513%29%17%13%
3.58%17%4%8%
4.50%13%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTrethomas BluebirdsNewport City
HATHAT
Clean sheets112336
Failed to score145336

Penalties

MetricTrethomas BluebirdsNewport City
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricTrethomas BluebirdsNewport City
Wins12
Draws33
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-1—2-11-3
Biggest losses0-53-01-22-0
Goals For4243
Goals Against5444

Model comparison

MetricTrethomas BluebirdsNewport City
Form36%64%
Att50%50%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution38%62%
H2h88%13%
Goals63%38%
Total53.2%47.2%

Advice: Double chance : Trethomas Bluebirds or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.10 @ Bet365
Draw3.90 @ Superbet
Away2.05 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.65 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.20 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.61 @ Superbet
No2.36 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Trethomas Bluebirds = 1.66 (league 1.71), Newport City = 2.36 (league 1.46)

Newport City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Trethomas Bluebirds 0 1.8% 4.2% 5.0% 3.9% 2.3% 1.1%
1 3.0% 7.0% 8.3% 6.5% 3.8% 1.8%
2 2.5% 5.9% 6.9% 5.4% 3.2% 1.5%
3 1.4% 3.2% 3.8% 3.0% 1.8% 0.8%
4 0.6% 1.3% 1.6% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.4% · Draw 19.6% · Away win 50.0%

vtt 5 , vtd2