Thu, Jan 1 2026 • 14:30 • Park Avenue
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.83 (league 1.71) 0.59 (league 1.48)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.5% 37.4% 24.1%
best score tips
0 - 0
24.0%
1 - 0
20.0%
0 - 1
14.2%
Score & goals probability table
Carmarthen Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aberystwyth Town 0 24.0% 14.2% 4.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.0% 11.9% 3.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 8.4% 5.0% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAberystwyth TownCarmarthen Town
Played55
Form40%13%
Attack38%13%
Defense69%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.22 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

54%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Aberystwyth Town Carmarthen Town
HATHAT
Played881610717
Wins38%63%50%40%29%35%
Draws25%0%13%50%29%41%
Loses38%38%38%10%43%24%

Form: Aberystwyth Town: WWDLDLWWWLWLWLLW • Carmarthen Town: WWDWDLDWDDWWDLDLL

League goals

Metric Aberystwyth Town Carmarthen Town
HATHAT
GF total911208816
GF avg1.11.41.30.81.10.9
GA total610165914
GA avg0.81.31.00.51.30.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAberystwyth TownCarmarthen Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%63%65%53%
1.538%31%18%18%
2.519%6%6%12%
3.56%0%6%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAberystwyth TownCarmarthen Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets426538
Failed to score426336

Penalties

MetricAberystwyth TownCarmarthen Town
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricAberystwyth TownCarmarthen Town
Wins32
Draws12
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-02-32-10-4
Biggest losses0-23-10-13-0
Goals For4324
Goals Against2313

Model comparison

MetricAberystwyth TownCarmarthen Town
Form75%25%
Att75%25%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total61.3%38.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Aberystwyth Town or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.10 @ William Hill
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away3.15 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.84 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.71 @ 188Bet
No2.20 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Aberystwyth Town = 0.83 (league 1.71), Carmarthen Town = 0.59 (league 1.48)

Carmarthen Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aberystwyth Town 0 24.0% 14.2% 4.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.0% 11.9% 3.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 8.4% 5.0% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.5% · Draw 37.4% · Away win 24.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1