Fri, Jan 23 2026 • 19:30 • Princess Margaret Way
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.69 (league 1.71) 1.57 (league 1.47)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
16.1% 25.2% 58.1%
best score tips
0 - 1
16.5%
0 - 2
12.9%
1 - 1
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
Carmarthen Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Afan Lido 0 10.5% 16.5% 12.9% 6.8% 2.7% 0.8%
1 7.2% 11.3% 8.9% 4.6% 1.8% 0.6%
2 2.5% 3.9% 3.0% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
3 0.6% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAfan LidoCarmarthen Town
Played55
Form7%20%
Attack20%27%
Defense33%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Afan Lido Carmarthen Town
HATHAT
Played8101811819
Wins13%20%17%36%25%32%
Draws25%10%17%55%38%47%
Loses63%70%67%9%38%21%

Form: Afan Lido: LLWLWLLLDDLWLDLLLL • Carmarthen Town: WWDWDLDWDDWWDLDLLDD

League goals

Metric Afan Lido Carmarthen Town
HATHAT
GF total791610919
GF avg0.90.90.90.91.11.0
GA total17213871017
GA avg2.12.12.10.61.30.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAfan LidoCarmarthen Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.544%94%68%58%
1.528%56%21%21%
2.511%33%5%11%
3.56%17%5%0%
4.50%6%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAfan LidoCarmarthen Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets011538
Failed to score4610336

Penalties

MetricAfan LidoCarmarthen Town
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricAfan LidoCarmarthen Town
Wins12
Draws22
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-21-42-10-4
Biggest losses0-46-00-13-0
Goals For3424
Goals Against4623

Model comparison

MetricAfan LidoCarmarthen Town
Form25%75%
Att43%57%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution26%74%
H2h50%50%
Goals55%45%
Total40.5%59.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Carmarthen Town

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.52 @ 1xBet
Draw4.00 @ Dafabet
Away1.69 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.11 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.69 @ Superbet
No2.10 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Afan Lido = 0.69 (league 1.71), Carmarthen Town = 1.57 (league 1.47)

Carmarthen Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Afan Lido 0 10.5% 16.5% 12.9% 6.8% 2.7% 0.8%
1 7.2% 11.3% 8.9% 4.6% 1.8% 0.6%
2 2.5% 3.9% 3.0% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
3 0.6% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.1% · Draw 25.2% · Away win 58.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1