Sat, Feb 7 2026 • 17:30 • Cwrt-yr-Ala
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.37 (league 1.72) 0.73 (league 1.51)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.0% 42.9% 40.1%
best score tips
0 - 0
33.2%
0 - 1
24.2%
1 - 0
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
Ammanford AFC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Caerau (Ely) 0 33.2% 24.2% 8.8% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1%
1 12.4% 9.0% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 2.3% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCaerau (Ely)Ammanford AFC
Played55
Form47%80%
Attack82%82%
Defense27%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Caerau (Ely) Ammanford AFC
HATHAT
Played10102091019
Wins60%50%55%67%40%53%
Draws20%20%20%22%50%37%
Loses20%30%25%11%10%11%

Form: Caerau (Ely): WDWWWLDWWWWLLDWLWDLW • Ammanford AFC: WWDWDWLDDDWDWDWWWWL

League goals

Metric Caerau (Ely) Ammanford AFC
HATHAT
GF total162339181028
GF avg1.62.32.02.01.01.5
GA total11132410414
GA avg1.11.31.21.10.40.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCaerau (Ely)Ammanford AFC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%65%74%47%
1.555%30%37%16%
2.520%25%21%5%
3.520%0%5%5%
4.510%0%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCaerau (Ely)Ammanford AFC
HATHAT
Clean sheets4373710
Failed to score112145

Penalties

MetricCaerau (Ely)Ammanford AFC
Scored (total | %)6 | 85.71%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)1 | 14.29%0 | 0%
Total70

Streaks

MetricCaerau (Ely)Ammanford AFC
Wins44
Draws13
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-56-00-3
Biggest losses2-33-00-42-0
Goals For4563
Goals Against3342

Model comparison

MetricCaerau (Ely)Ammanford AFC
Form37%63%
Att50%50%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution31%69%
H2h50%50%
Goals53%47%
Total42.3%57.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Ammanford AFC

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.78 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.75 @ Bet365
Away3.90 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Betfair
No2.07 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Betfair
Under 2.52.05 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Caerau (Ely) = 0.37 (league 1.72), Ammanford AFC = 0.73 (league 1.51)

Ammanford AFC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Caerau (Ely) 0 33.2% 24.2% 8.8% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1%
1 12.4% 9.0% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 2.3% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.0% · Draw 42.9% · Away win 40.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1