Wed, Apr 8 2026 • 18:45 •
Bartons North Wales Stadium
Expected Goals
2.88 (league 1.70)
1.02 (league 1.51)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 68.2% | 14.0% | 10.4% |
best score tips
2 - 1
8.6%
2 - 0
8.4%
3 - 1
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Newtown AFC | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Holywell | 0 | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.4% | 8.6% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 8.0% | 8.2% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 3.3% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Holywell | Newtown AFC |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 40% |
| Attack | 61% | 35% |
| Defense | 65% | 57% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 14 | 2.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
73%
FT probability
3.5+
52%
FT probability
BTTS
79%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Holywell | Newtown AFC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 14 | 27 | 13 | 13 | 26 |
| Wins | 77% | 50% | 63% | 62% | 46% | 54% |
| Draws | 15% | 29% | 22% | 15% | 8% | 12% |
| Loses | 8% | 21% | 15% | 23% | 46% | 35% |
Form: Holywell: WWWWWWWDDWWWLDDLWWDWLWWLWDW • Newtown AFC: WWWDWLWWLWWWWDLDLLLWWLWLWL
League goals
| Metric | Holywell | Newtown AFC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 45 | 27 | 72 | 28 | 18 | 46 |
| GF avg | 3.5 | 1.9 | 2.7 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 14 | 21 | 35 | 19 | 18 | 37 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Holywell | Newtown AFC | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 93% | 78% | 69% | 81% |
| 1.5 | 70% | 26% | 54% | 42% |
| 2.5 | 44% | 19% | 27% | 12% |
| 3.5 | 30% | 7% | 15% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 15% | 0% | 8% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Holywell | Newtown AFC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Holywell | Newtown AFC |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Holywell | Newtown AFC |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 7 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-0 | 0-3 | 6-1 | 2-5 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-1 | 0-5 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 8 | 4 | 6 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Holywell | Newtown AFC |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 63% | 38% |
| Att | 64% | 36% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 72% | 28% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 56% | 44% |
| Total | 65.2% | 35.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Holywell or draw and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.45 @ 1xBet
Draw4.00 @ William Hill
Away5.78 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.53 @ William Hill
No2.30 @ William Hill
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.40 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.62 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Holywell = 2.88 (league 1.70), Newtown AFC = 1.02 (league 1.51)
| Newtown AFC | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Holywell | 0 | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.4% | 8.6% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 8.0% | 8.2% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 3.3% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 68.2% · Draw 14.0% · Away win 10.4%
vtt 3 , vtd1
