Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 14:00 • Cae Baker
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.12 (league 1.71) 1.35 (league 1.51)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.0% 27.0% 41.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.8%
0 - 1
11.4%
1 - 0
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Mold Alexandra
0 1 2 3 4 5
Penrhyncoch 0 8.4% 11.4% 7.7% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3%
1 9.5% 12.8% 8.6% 3.9% 1.3% 0.4%
2 5.3% 7.2% 4.8% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
3 2.0% 2.7% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.6% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPenrhyncochMold Alexandra
Played55
Form27%27%
Attack36%36%
Defense21%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Penrhyncoch Mold Alexandra
HATHAT
Played91120101020
Wins22%9%15%10%40%25%
Draws22%27%25%40%10%25%
Loses56%64%60%50%50%50%

Form: Penrhyncoch: DLLLDDLLLLLLWDWDLWLL • Mold Alexandra: DWDLDLWLWLWLDLLLDLLW

League goals

Metric Penrhyncoch Mold Alexandra
HATHAT
GF total141125101222
GF avg1.61.01.31.01.21.1
GA total152843161228
GA avg1.72.52.21.61.21.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePenrhyncochMold Alexandra
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%85%80%75%
1.520%60%25%55%
2.55%50%5%10%
3.55%20%0%0%
4.55%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPenrhyncochMold Alexandra
HATHAT
Clean sheets213145
Failed to score123224

Penalties

MetricPenrhyncochMold Alexandra
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricPenrhyncochMold Alexandra
Wins11
Draws21
Losses63

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-00-12-10-3
Biggest losses1-44-01-33-1
Goals For6223
Goals Against4433

Model comparison

MetricPenrhyncochMold Alexandra
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h50%50%
Goals47%53%
Total47.2%52.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Mold Alexandra

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.65 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.60 @ Bet365
Away2.43 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.71 @ Superbet
Under 2.52.30 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.59 @ Superbet
No2.26 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Penrhyncoch = 1.12 (league 1.71), Mold Alexandra = 1.35 (league 1.51)

Mold Alexandra
0 1 2 3 4 5
Penrhyncoch 0 8.4% 11.4% 7.7% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3%
1 9.5% 12.8% 8.6% 3.9% 1.3% 0.4%
2 5.3% 7.2% 4.8% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
3 2.0% 2.7% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.6% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.0% · Draw 27.0% · Away win 41.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1